1 00:00:08,490 --> 00:00:12,459 [Music] 2 00:00:18,080 --> 00:00:15,799 hello and welcome my name is Hannah Jane 3 00:00:20,359 --> 00:00:18,090 Condell and I'm an associate professor 4 00:00:21,529 --> 00:00:20,369 at the University of Wyoming and today 5 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:21,539 we're coming to you from the University 6 00:00:25,429 --> 00:00:23,490 of Wyoming campus here in Laramie 7 00:00:28,910 --> 00:00:25,439 Wyoming where we just concluded 8 00:00:31,130 --> 00:00:28,920 habitable worlds 2017 a system science 9 00:00:34,010 --> 00:00:31,140 workshop this was a week-long conference 10 00:00:35,650 --> 00:00:34,020 supported in part by NASA throughout 11 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:35,660 this week we've been having 12 00:00:41,060 --> 00:00:37,770 cross-disciplinary discussions between 13 00:00:43,970 --> 00:00:41,070 astronomers planetary scientists earth 14 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:43,980 scientists and others about what kinds 15 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:45,570 of planets might be capable of 16 00:00:50,930 --> 00:00:48,210 supporting life and how we might be able 17 00:00:54,380 --> 00:00:50,940 to actually find them I'd like to 18 00:00:56,959 --> 00:00:54,390 introduce Elizabeth Tasker of JAXA Japan 19 00:00:58,130 --> 00:00:56,969 aerospace exploration agency who will be 20 00:01:00,410 --> 00:00:58,140 moderating today's panel discussion 21 00:01:03,709 --> 00:01:00,420 about habitability and life in the 22 00:01:06,740 --> 00:01:03,719 universe thank you very much so we have 23 00:01:09,530 --> 00:01:06,750 now found over three and a half thousand 24 00:01:12,980 --> 00:01:09,540 exoplanets planets orbiting stars beyond 25 00:01:14,570 --> 00:01:12,990 our own Sun and roughly one third of 26 00:01:17,570 --> 00:01:14,580 these have sizes that are less than 27 00:01:19,249 --> 00:01:17,580 about twice the size of the earth so 28 00:01:21,980 --> 00:01:19,259 this has led to the next inevitable 29 00:01:24,980 --> 00:01:21,990 question could any of these actually be 30 00:01:27,050 --> 00:01:24,990 a habitable planets so with me today I 31 00:01:29,749 --> 00:01:27,060 have three scientists who are working on 32 00:01:32,749 --> 00:01:29,759 this exact issue with NASA on my far 33 00:01:35,780 --> 00:01:32,759 left I have dad irani an astrobiologist 34 00:01:38,660 --> 00:01:35,790 at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center next 35 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:38,670 to her is Andrew rush be a nasa nexus 36 00:01:44,870 --> 00:01:41,130 postdoctoral fellow in residence at nasa 37 00:01:48,130 --> 00:01:44,880 ames and co-host of the XO cast podcast 38 00:01:50,300 --> 00:01:48,140 and on my right I have a key Robert 39 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:50,310 astrophysicist at NASA Goddard Space 40 00:01:53,510 --> 00:01:52,770 Flight Center and the study scientist 41 00:01:58,310 --> 00:01:53,520 for the Louvois 42 00:02:00,230 --> 00:01:58,320 survey concept study so let's start with 43 00:02:02,330 --> 00:02:00,240 a question about habitability itself 44 00:02:04,490 --> 00:02:02,340 this is a term that we all have some 45 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:04,500 familiarity with but what does it really 46 00:02:09,930 --> 00:02:06,810 mean when we talk about a habitable 47 00:02:14,820 --> 00:02:11,700 well I suppose I'll start since I have a 48 00:02:16,710 --> 00:02:14,830 mic when we think about habitability in 49 00:02:18,660 --> 00:02:16,720 terms of exoplanets what we're really 50 00:02:21,150 --> 00:02:18,670 thinking about is planets that have 51 00:02:23,070 --> 00:02:21,160 liquid water on their surface because we 52 00:02:25,710 --> 00:02:23,080 know that liquid water is a requirement 53 00:02:27,210 --> 00:02:25,720 of all life on earth and so this is our 54 00:02:29,340 --> 00:02:27,220 starting point for when we start to 55 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:29,350 think about what habitability might mean 56 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:34,090 elsewhere in the galaxy yes and so we're 57 00:02:38,670 --> 00:02:36,850 very focused on the question of liquid 58 00:02:40,740 --> 00:02:38,680 water because as Jo said it seems 59 00:02:43,650 --> 00:02:40,750 essential but I guess it's important to 60 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:43,660 understand that it that is probably a 61 00:02:49,110 --> 00:02:46,690 necessary but not sufficient condition 62 00:02:51,210 --> 00:02:49,120 for a planet to actually be a have a 63 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:51,220 living biosphere so and we're only 64 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:53,770 really just actually starting to 65 00:02:58,080 --> 00:02:56,170 understand all the different factors 66 00:03:00,750 --> 00:02:58,090 that come into play that make the earth 67 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:00,760 habitable over billions and billions of 68 00:03:07,230 --> 00:03:06,250 years yeah as Aki mentioned when we look 69 00:03:08,790 --> 00:03:07,240 at when we think about a habitable 70 00:03:11,820 --> 00:03:08,800 planet we really only have one to go on 71 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:11,830 and that's the earth so usually when we 72 00:03:15,090 --> 00:03:13,450 frame a question about habitability it's 73 00:03:18,330 --> 00:03:15,100 thinking about an earth-like planet it's 74 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:18,340 sometimes used in place of that phrase 75 00:03:22,500 --> 00:03:21,010 so liquid water is important having an 76 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:22,510 atmosphere that's something like the 77 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:24,130 earth is sometimes considered to be 78 00:03:29,220 --> 00:03:26,170 important but again not a necessary 79 00:03:31,590 --> 00:03:29,230 prerequisite so it's a very complex and 80 00:03:34,620 --> 00:03:31,600 interconnected phrase that actually has 81 00:03:36,900 --> 00:03:34,630 a lot to unpack now when we hear about 82 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:36,910 exoplanet discoveries on the news we 83 00:03:42,210 --> 00:03:39,850 often hear this term habitable zone now 84 00:03:44,250 --> 00:03:42,220 what does this actually mean when we are 85 00:03:48,070 --> 00:03:44,260 looking for exoplanets and considering 86 00:03:55,850 --> 00:03:53,270 it's it it's a it's a the habitable zone 87 00:03:58,100 --> 00:03:55,860 okay it's straight-up definition it 88 00:04:02,120 --> 00:03:58,110 probably it is it is the region around a 89 00:04:05,270 --> 00:04:02,130 star where a planet might be able to 90 00:04:07,100 --> 00:04:05,280 have liquid water on its surface or I 91 00:04:11,030 --> 00:04:07,110 think somebody at this workshop put it 92 00:04:13,070 --> 00:04:11,040 differently a few days ago it's outside 93 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:13,080 of the habitable zone we know that the 94 00:04:17,570 --> 00:04:15,210 planets cannot have liquid water on 95 00:04:21,860 --> 00:04:17,580 their surface so it's basically a 96 00:04:23,690 --> 00:04:21,870 balance between how much the light 97 00:04:27,290 --> 00:04:23,700 coming from the star it C would warm you 98 00:04:28,730 --> 00:04:27,300 up and how much you radiate away how 99 00:04:30,620 --> 00:04:28,740 much the planet rady you know radiates 100 00:04:32,540 --> 00:04:30,630 away so it's sort of like a it's like a 101 00:04:34,280 --> 00:04:32,550 it's like a like a warm zone around a 102 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:34,290 campfire so if you have a really bright 103 00:04:38,660 --> 00:04:36,690 you have a really bright star you know 104 00:04:40,790 --> 00:04:38,670 the habitable zone would move away from 105 00:04:42,020 --> 00:04:40,800 the star to cool things down so it 106 00:04:45,050 --> 00:04:42,030 didn't get too hot if you have a really 107 00:04:47,090 --> 00:04:45,060 small cool star like a what we call em 108 00:04:49,280 --> 00:04:47,100 dwarf stars the habitable zone has to 109 00:04:52,100 --> 00:04:49,290 sort of huddle in towards the campfire 110 00:04:55,070 --> 00:04:52,110 just to keep the planet warm and it's 111 00:04:57,140 --> 00:04:55,080 it's um it's probably not the only place 112 00:04:58,670 --> 00:04:57,150 obviously though around a star that you 113 00:05:01,460 --> 00:04:58,680 could have liquid water or maybe 114 00:05:04,490 --> 00:05:01,470 habitable conditions it it is basically 115 00:05:07,490 --> 00:05:04,500 though probably the only kind of planet 116 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:07,500 planets in the habitable zone exoplanets 117 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:08,610 in the habitable zone with like water on 118 00:05:12,050 --> 00:05:10,050 their surface are probably the only kind 119 00:05:14,090 --> 00:05:12,060 of habitable environment that we'll be 120 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:14,100 able to detect that we will be able to 121 00:05:19,450 --> 00:05:18,330 see from interstellar distances yeah 122 00:05:22,100 --> 00:05:19,460 that's a great description the 123 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:22,110 astronomical observable nature of this 124 00:05:26,270 --> 00:05:24,570 is what makes it very useful but just to 125 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:26,280 build on - and what you said about small 126 00:05:30,350 --> 00:05:28,170 stars and larger stars and how that 127 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:30,360 affects the distance this distance also 128 00:05:35,150 --> 00:05:32,730 changes over time as the star itself you 129 00:05:37,970 --> 00:05:35,160 know ages so the red dwarf stars that 130 00:05:40,610 --> 00:05:37,980 arc you mentioned they they evolve very 131 00:05:42,530 --> 00:05:40,620 slowly so they may have habitable zones 132 00:05:42,890 --> 00:05:42,540 that are relatively stable in time and 133 00:05:46,210 --> 00:05:42,900 space 134 00:05:48,530 --> 00:05:46,220 and whereas sun-like stars like the Sun 135 00:05:50,090 --> 00:05:48,540 they actually evolve relatively quickly 136 00:05:53,060 --> 00:05:50,100 and astronomical terms which means 137 00:05:55,370 --> 00:05:53,070 they're habitable zone moves outwards 138 00:05:57,230 --> 00:05:55,380 over time which has implications for any 139 00:06:00,380 --> 00:05:57,240 planets that we might be considering to 140 00:06:03,030 --> 00:06:00,390 be habitable within those zones 141 00:06:04,260 --> 00:06:03,040 yeah all of that is great and in 142 00:06:07,020 --> 00:06:04,270 addition to that I would just emphasize 143 00:06:09,060 --> 00:06:07,030 the practicality of the definition of 144 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:09,070 the habitable zone the habitable zone 145 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:12,250 allows us to focus our searches when we 146 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:13,930 start to look for life on distant 147 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:16,690 planets it gives us a place for where we 148 00:06:20,280 --> 00:06:18,370 can start looking where we know that 149 00:06:23,340 --> 00:06:20,290 this condition of surface liquid water 150 00:06:25,890 --> 00:06:23,350 is possible and so it's it's useful from 151 00:06:27,450 --> 00:06:25,900 a pragmatic standpoint because it allows 152 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:27,460 us to you know not have to search 153 00:06:32,670 --> 00:06:29,890 everywhere but just search in a smaller 154 00:06:34,230 --> 00:06:32,680 area around the star so what we're 155 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:34,240 saying is the habitable zone is more 156 00:06:38,700 --> 00:06:36,250 like a searching zone for finding 157 00:06:40,590 --> 00:06:38,710 possible habitable planets as opposed to 158 00:06:42,330 --> 00:06:40,600 offering any guarantee that a planet 159 00:06:46,710 --> 00:06:42,340 within the habitable zone will in fact 160 00:06:48,510 --> 00:06:46,720 be habitable absolutely yes now based on 161 00:06:50,909 --> 00:06:48,520 what you said about how it has to be 162 00:06:52,590 --> 00:06:50,919 like this warm region around the star I 163 00:06:55,050 --> 00:06:52,600 think we've assumed earth-like 164 00:06:56,850 --> 00:06:55,060 conditions for changing that radiation 165 00:06:59,400 --> 00:06:56,860 the planets receiving at that campfire 166 00:07:02,460 --> 00:06:59,410 points to what the surface conditions 167 00:07:04,050 --> 00:07:02,470 will be like so that means that the 168 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:04,060 surface conditions on the planet if 169 00:07:08,190 --> 00:07:05,770 they're not like earth could be quite 170 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:08,200 different so what do we know currently 171 00:07:17,450 --> 00:07:12,930 about surfaces of these exoplanets 172 00:07:19,710 --> 00:07:17,460 approximately nothing right now the 173 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:19,720 techniques that we use to discover 174 00:07:24,570 --> 00:07:22,810 exoplanets today they're they're what we 175 00:07:25,980 --> 00:07:24,580 call indirect techniques so what we're 176 00:07:27,690 --> 00:07:25,990 actually doing we're not so much we're 177 00:07:31,860 --> 00:07:27,700 not so much seeing the planet itself 178 00:07:35,190 --> 00:07:31,870 we're seeing the impact the effect of 179 00:07:36,870 --> 00:07:35,200 that planet on its host star and so for 180 00:07:38,700 --> 00:07:36,880 example one of the most common 181 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:38,710 techniques is the transit technique so 182 00:07:45,719 --> 00:07:42,370 this is when if you're do that transit 183 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:45,729 of Venus that happened not too long ago 184 00:07:52,110 --> 00:07:49,930 but if we have the right orientation to 185 00:07:54,210 --> 00:07:52,120 this to the system sometimes a planet 186 00:07:56,700 --> 00:07:54,220 will pass in front of its star and we'll 187 00:07:58,380 --> 00:07:56,710 see a dip in its light and that's how 188 00:08:00,530 --> 00:07:58,390 like that the vast majority of 189 00:08:04,050 --> 00:08:00,540 exoplanets have been discovered to date 190 00:08:05,550 --> 00:08:04,060 but as far as we get their size from 191 00:08:07,770 --> 00:08:05,560 that measurement and in with other 192 00:08:09,690 --> 00:08:07,780 techniques we can get maybe a mass but 193 00:08:12,439 --> 00:08:09,700 that's mostly what we've got right now 194 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:12,449 so really 195 00:08:19,620 --> 00:08:14,650 exoplanets right now are largely small 196 00:08:20,700 --> 00:08:19,630 black shadows to us and we really find 197 00:08:23,189 --> 00:08:20,710 out what they're really like we need to 198 00:08:25,650 --> 00:08:23,199 turn those small black shadows into a 199 00:08:27,210 --> 00:08:25,660 rainbow of colored dots in the sky and 200 00:08:32,370 --> 00:08:27,220 actually start to understand what they 201 00:08:34,230 --> 00:08:32,380 are like and I love that answer and I 202 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:34,240 love the phrase small black shadows and 203 00:08:38,850 --> 00:08:36,130 one of the ways that we're starting to 204 00:08:40,219 --> 00:08:38,860 prepare for making these observations of 205 00:08:43,199 --> 00:08:40,229 exoplanets that would turn them into 206 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:43,209 rainbow dots is using models to try to 207 00:08:47,850 --> 00:08:45,730 predict what their surfaces and 208 00:08:49,620 --> 00:08:47,860 atmospheres might be made out of so that 209 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:49,630 we can anticipate what we might be 210 00:08:54,750 --> 00:08:53,290 looking for that's a great point and I'm 211 00:08:57,960 --> 00:08:54,760 pleased you put up atmospheres actually 212 00:08:58,889 --> 00:08:57,970 because I future missions are public and 213 00:09:01,889 --> 00:08:58,899 be able to give us some information 214 00:09:04,290 --> 00:09:01,899 about planetary atmospheres and from the 215 00:09:05,610 --> 00:09:04,300 lessons we've learned about the earth we 216 00:09:07,980 --> 00:09:05,620 know that the atmosphere and the surface 217 00:09:10,019 --> 00:09:07,990 and the oceans are intimately connected 218 00:09:11,850 --> 00:09:10,029 and if we can determine something about 219 00:09:13,079 --> 00:09:11,860 the composition of the atmosphere we 220 00:09:14,730 --> 00:09:13,089 might be able to say something about 221 00:09:16,530 --> 00:09:14,740 what's going on in the surface of the 222 00:09:19,740 --> 00:09:16,540 planets or in its oceans if it has any 223 00:09:21,540 --> 00:09:19,750 oceans or even in its interior so at the 224 00:09:23,250 --> 00:09:21,550 moment yes we know approximately nothing 225 00:09:25,350 --> 00:09:23,260 about their services especially if 226 00:09:28,410 --> 00:09:25,360 they're small planets but that might 227 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:28,420 change very soon so to really discover 228 00:09:33,090 --> 00:09:30,370 if these four black shadows in the 229 00:09:34,710 --> 00:09:33,100 habitable zone earth-like enough that 230 00:09:36,930 --> 00:09:34,720 liquid water could exist on their 231 00:09:39,300 --> 00:09:36,940 surface we need to get a glimpse of 232 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:39,310 what's going on down there what future 233 00:09:45,900 --> 00:09:41,050 missions do we have in the works that 234 00:09:50,460 --> 00:09:45,910 will give us a bit more information all 235 00:09:52,500 --> 00:09:50,470 right so first up coming is the will be 236 00:09:56,190 --> 00:09:52,510 the James Webb Space Telescope so this 237 00:09:59,250 --> 00:09:56,200 is NASA's next really sort of a large 238 00:10:04,949 --> 00:09:59,260 strategic mission launch date in we are 239 00:10:06,389 --> 00:10:04,959 in 20 it's in 2018 29:20 19 it is a it 240 00:10:08,790 --> 00:10:06,399 has a large six and a half metre 241 00:10:11,310 --> 00:10:08,800 telescope diameter telescope it will 242 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:11,320 observe at infrared wavelengths so these 243 00:10:18,660 --> 00:10:15,610 are his heat radiation basically and it 244 00:10:20,699 --> 00:10:18,670 was not in fact originally planned or 245 00:10:25,079 --> 00:10:20,709 designed to study planets around other 246 00:10:25,230 --> 00:10:25,089 stars but it can and it can do it will 247 00:10:26,730 --> 00:10:25,240 be 248 00:10:31,070 --> 00:10:26,740 wants to do it quite well and it will it 249 00:10:34,530 --> 00:10:31,080 will be our first pulse our first real 250 00:10:37,500 --> 00:10:34,540 tool that will allow us to actually 251 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:37,510 probe the atmospheres of a lot of 252 00:10:44,269 --> 00:10:41,050 planets around other stars a lot of warm 253 00:10:48,449 --> 00:10:44,279 jupiter-sized planets and warm Saturn's 254 00:10:51,180 --> 00:10:48,459 Neptune's and probably down to what we 255 00:10:52,949 --> 00:10:51,190 would call super Earths so planets that 256 00:10:56,420 --> 00:10:52,959 are you know a little you know a couple 257 00:10:58,620 --> 00:10:56,430 of times more bigger than the earth so 258 00:11:02,400 --> 00:10:58,630 that's that's what's that's the first 259 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:02,410 thing coming up but it will the James 260 00:11:06,900 --> 00:11:04,450 Webb Space Telescope it will study the 261 00:11:09,329 --> 00:11:06,910 atmospheres of exoplanets by measuring 262 00:11:10,650 --> 00:11:09,339 the light when I went to when a planet 263 00:11:12,389 --> 00:11:10,660 passes in front of its star it'll 264 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:12,399 measure the light that passed through 265 00:11:19,889 --> 00:11:15,490 the atmosphere of the planet and it's 266 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:19,899 that's called transit spectroscopy I we 267 00:11:24,780 --> 00:11:21,850 think that if we really want to get down 268 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:24,790 to those true earth twins those earth 269 00:11:29,579 --> 00:11:27,450 sized planets around sun-like stars 270 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:29,589 we're probably going to need a different 271 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:32,890 technique where we finally just block 272 00:11:38,190 --> 00:11:36,010 out the star like putting your hand over 273 00:11:39,660 --> 00:11:38,200 the star to see something faint right 274 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:39,670 next to it and actually take a real 275 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:44,010 picture of the planet so and see it as 276 00:11:50,340 --> 00:11:48,610 hopefully pale blue dots and so but to 277 00:11:53,370 --> 00:11:50,350 do that you have to suppress the light 278 00:11:57,930 --> 00:11:53,380 from that bright star by ten billion 279 00:11:59,940 --> 00:11:57,940 times that's a lot and but we we have I 280 00:12:01,650 --> 00:11:59,950 think we know how to do this there are 281 00:12:04,170 --> 00:12:01,660 instruments called coronagraphs and 282 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:04,180 others called star shades that are being 283 00:12:12,300 --> 00:12:08,410 developed by nasa and what's coming up 284 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:12,310 next is on the w first mission that is 285 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:14,170 supposed to launch in the sort of mid 286 00:12:20,460 --> 00:12:17,890 2020s will carry NASA's first really 287 00:12:23,060 --> 00:12:20,470 advanced coronagraph into space this is 288 00:12:26,910 --> 00:12:23,070 a technology demonstration instrument 289 00:12:29,250 --> 00:12:26,920 that will hopefully advance advanced 290 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:29,260 this technique this hardware this tool 291 00:12:37,949 --> 00:12:33,850 to the point where after that we will be 292 00:12:39,030 --> 00:12:37,959 able to to design and build some of 293 00:12:41,370 --> 00:12:39,040 these other mission cons 294 00:12:43,290 --> 00:12:41,380 that we've been talking about this week 295 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:43,300 one of them is called have X the 296 00:12:47,550 --> 00:12:45,610 habitable exoplanet imaging mission and 297 00:12:49,230 --> 00:12:47,560 the other one we've talked about is 298 00:12:51,660 --> 00:12:49,240 called leVoir and that stands for a 299 00:12:53,730 --> 00:12:51,670 large UV optical infrared surveyor and 300 00:12:55,889 --> 00:12:53,740 that's the study scientist for that 301 00:12:58,019 --> 00:12:55,899 mission concept but both of those 302 00:13:00,499 --> 00:12:58,029 missions those are really aimed there 303 00:13:04,530 --> 00:13:00,509 killer app is to actually go out there 304 00:13:05,970 --> 00:13:04,540 take pictures of those small small 305 00:13:08,670 --> 00:13:05,980 planets and the habitable zones of 306 00:13:10,410 --> 00:13:08,680 nearby sun-like stars and take do 307 00:13:12,210 --> 00:13:10,420 spectroscopy on their atmospheres and 308 00:13:14,999 --> 00:13:12,220 find out what are the molecules in those 309 00:13:17,220 --> 00:13:15,009 atmospheres and maybe even see like the 310 00:13:19,439 --> 00:13:17,230 colors of their surfaces and maybe if 311 00:13:21,749 --> 00:13:19,449 they have continents or oceans and make 312 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:21,759 maps and everything so but that's a 313 00:13:26,639 --> 00:13:24,970 that's a down the road of peace so based 314 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:26,649 on what you said I'm hearing two 315 00:13:30,389 --> 00:13:28,810 different techniques for really trying 316 00:13:32,689 --> 00:13:30,399 to explore the surface of these planets 317 00:13:35,370 --> 00:13:32,699 one is this atmosphere spectroscopy 318 00:13:37,199 --> 00:13:35,380 where the Starlight filters through the 319 00:13:39,689 --> 00:13:37,209 planet's atmosphere and due to certain 320 00:13:41,519 --> 00:13:39,699 molecules in that atmosphere certain 321 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:41,529 wavelengths are missing because those 322 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:43,930 molecules absorb so you get would you 323 00:13:49,470 --> 00:13:46,170 describe it as a fingerprint perhaps of 324 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:49,480 molecules in that atmosphere yeah 325 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:51,250 certainly yeah that that's yeah 326 00:13:56,220 --> 00:13:53,410 spectroscopy is is is that it's 327 00:13:59,129 --> 00:13:56,230 basically um you know molecules 328 00:14:01,639 --> 00:13:59,139 molecules will will will absorb well 329 00:14:04,939 --> 00:14:01,649 like suck up certain colors of light and 330 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:04,949 different molecules you know suck up 331 00:14:09,329 --> 00:14:07,810 specific colors and that makes a 332 00:14:12,750 --> 00:14:09,339 fingerprint of that molecule and the 333 00:14:14,460 --> 00:14:12,760 light that you collect so yeah and then 334 00:14:16,439 --> 00:14:14,470 the second technique was actually to say 335 00:14:18,750 --> 00:14:16,449 let's look at the planet directly so 336 00:14:20,460 --> 00:14:18,760 direct imaging and the challenge there 337 00:14:22,860 --> 00:14:20,470 is that stars are really bright and 338 00:14:24,629 --> 00:14:22,870 planets are really dim so you have to 339 00:14:26,309 --> 00:14:24,639 use this chronograph to block out the 340 00:14:29,009 --> 00:14:26,319 star's light so that we can see the 341 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:29,019 planets yeah and actually there's kind 342 00:14:33,420 --> 00:14:30,850 of a subtle point about this too is that 343 00:14:36,059 --> 00:14:33,430 so the Earth's really faint like I said 344 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:36,069 it's ten billion times fainter than the 345 00:14:41,730 --> 00:14:38,290 Sun but astronomers we have observed 346 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:41,740 things in the sky that faint before we 347 00:14:47,490 --> 00:14:44,410 definitely have so that is not the real 348 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:47,500 problem is how close that faint dot is 349 00:14:52,590 --> 00:14:51,370 to this crazy bright star so for example 350 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:52,600 if you are looking at the earth 351 00:14:57,840 --> 00:14:54,730 at the solar system from a distance of 352 00:15:01,530 --> 00:14:57,850 33 light years the the separation 353 00:15:03,780 --> 00:15:01,540 between the Sun and the earth is what is 354 00:15:06,030 --> 00:15:03,790 a 0.1 arc seconds okay what is that 355 00:15:08,370 --> 00:15:06,040 really that is its approximate that's 356 00:15:11,900 --> 00:15:08,380 about the width of a human hair at the 357 00:15:16,710 --> 00:15:11,910 distance of two football fields so 358 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:16,720 that's what we have to do great 359 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:18,490 so Elizabeth I know we're talking about 360 00:15:23,220 --> 00:15:21,370 future missions and surface environments 361 00:15:25,170 --> 00:15:23,230 but I feel like I should just mention 362 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:25,180 the fact that the the Kepler space 363 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:27,370 mission which just recently ended has 364 00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:29,410 got a wealth of data that's still 365 00:15:34,290 --> 00:15:31,690 available to be analyzed and while we 366 00:15:36,450 --> 00:15:34,300 can't certainly see the surface of the 367 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:36,460 planets that Kepler has detected having 368 00:15:41,700 --> 00:15:39,250 a large sample of planets can provide us 369 00:15:43,710 --> 00:15:41,710 with a huge amount of information about 370 00:15:46,230 --> 00:15:43,720 their population and we've already 371 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:46,240 getting to the point where we can start 372 00:15:50,220 --> 00:15:48,130 noticing trends in how planets are built 373 00:15:51,930 --> 00:15:50,230 where they're built and what we might 374 00:15:54,300 --> 00:15:51,940 not be able to see their their surfaces 375 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:54,310 we can use models for example computer 376 00:15:57,930 --> 00:15:56,410 simulations with the information that 377 00:15:59,940 --> 00:15:57,940 we're getting from these large databases 378 00:16:01,770 --> 00:15:59,950 that can come from Kepler and the 379 00:16:05,220 --> 00:16:01,780 upcoming test mission they're transiting 380 00:16:07,170 --> 00:16:05,230 exoplanet survey satellite to improve 381 00:16:09,950 --> 00:16:07,180 our understanding of the general 382 00:16:11,790 --> 00:16:09,960 processes that build the planets 383 00:16:13,410 --> 00:16:11,800 absolutely so we're not done with a 384 00:16:15,150 --> 00:16:13,420 current data we've got and we've got 385 00:16:16,350 --> 00:16:15,160 similar data coming up but could you 386 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:16,360 tell us a bit more about the test 387 00:16:22,860 --> 00:16:20,650 mission I'm by no means an expert so I 388 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:22,870 can't go into any detail about it but it 389 00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:25,810 will it's it's going to be a satellite 390 00:16:33,930 --> 00:16:29,290 level survey I think almost the entire 391 00:16:37,050 --> 00:16:33,940 sky to look for to look for exoplanets 392 00:16:39,570 --> 00:16:37,060 using the transit method I Aki mentioned 393 00:16:41,730 --> 00:16:39,580 and it's going to provide some 394 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:41,740 interesting follow-up planets almost 395 00:16:46,230 --> 00:16:43,810 certainly for things like James Webb and 396 00:16:49,460 --> 00:16:46,240 W first and the future missions as well 397 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:49,470 as adding to that this growing pool of 398 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:51,610 exoplanet statistics and data that we 399 00:16:57,540 --> 00:16:55,690 already have well those are great 400 00:16:59,850 --> 00:16:57,550 answers is there's not allowed to add in 401 00:17:02,160 --> 00:16:59,860 terms of future missions but I think 402 00:17:04,380 --> 00:17:02,170 it's really exciting to think about the 403 00:17:05,100 --> 00:17:04,390 fact that if there is a habitable planet 404 00:17:07,980 --> 00:17:05,110 in 405 00:17:10,230 --> 00:17:07,990 nearby galaxies we have the potential to 406 00:17:11,939 --> 00:17:10,240 actually know about it in just a couple 407 00:17:14,130 --> 00:17:11,949 years to maybe a few decades from now 408 00:17:15,630 --> 00:17:14,140 and for the first time in human history 409 00:17:17,850 --> 00:17:15,640 we might know that we're not alone in 410 00:17:21,390 --> 00:17:17,860 the universe I think it's incredibly 411 00:17:23,460 --> 00:17:21,400 exciting so that is that is quite the 412 00:17:25,410 --> 00:17:23,470 goal but here's the question when we get 413 00:17:27,179 --> 00:17:25,420 these new instruments online and we're 414 00:17:29,580 --> 00:17:27,189 starting to see something about their 415 00:17:31,020 --> 00:17:29,590 surface conditions either by looking at 416 00:17:32,730 --> 00:17:31,030 their atmosphere and seeing the 417 00:17:34,830 --> 00:17:32,740 molecules that are there or even 418 00:17:37,169 --> 00:17:34,840 catching a sight of the light emitted by 419 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:37,179 the planet through direct imaging how 420 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:38,770 would we know that the planet was 421 00:17:46,530 --> 00:17:44,410 habitable so as we mentioned earlier to 422 00:17:49,169 --> 00:17:46,540 be habitable you need to have surface 423 00:17:50,789 --> 00:17:49,179 liquid water that's central to our 424 00:17:53,789 --> 00:17:50,799 understanding of planetary habitability 425 00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:53,799 and we can use different techniques to 426 00:17:57,990 --> 00:17:55,570 try to probe whether there's liquid 427 00:17:59,490 --> 00:17:58,000 water on the surface of an exoplanet for 428 00:18:02,490 --> 00:17:59,500 example we could look for the 429 00:18:04,289 --> 00:18:02,500 fingerprints of water in the light 430 00:18:06,120 --> 00:18:04,299 spectrum that we get from the planets 431 00:18:07,530 --> 00:18:06,130 and if we see water vapor in the 432 00:18:09,060 --> 00:18:07,540 atmosphere that might be a clue that 433 00:18:11,669 --> 00:18:09,070 there might be abundant water on the 434 00:18:15,030 --> 00:18:11,679 surface we could also look for direct 435 00:18:17,340 --> 00:18:15,040 signs of liquid surface water everyone 436 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:17,350 who's stood at a beach at sunset is 437 00:18:21,570 --> 00:18:19,330 familiar with glint when you see the Sun 438 00:18:22,470 --> 00:18:21,580 setting and you see all the beautiful 439 00:18:24,180 --> 00:18:22,480 rays of light 440 00:18:26,850 --> 00:18:24,190 you know scattering off the surface of 441 00:18:28,590 --> 00:18:26,860 the ocean this is called glint and we 442 00:18:31,530 --> 00:18:28,600 could actually look for glint on an 443 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:31,540 exoplanet you see glint most strongly 444 00:18:36,060 --> 00:18:33,850 when a planet is at Crescent phase so 445 00:18:38,250 --> 00:18:36,070 when the planet is less than half way 446 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:38,260 illuminated that's the most optical time 447 00:18:42,210 --> 00:18:40,330 to see glint and so we were able to 448 00:18:44,340 --> 00:18:42,220 catch these planets during Crescent 449 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:44,350 phase we might see this glint effect 450 00:18:47,340 --> 00:18:45,970 that would allow us to say oh hey we 451 00:18:49,740 --> 00:18:47,350 think there's an ocean on that planet 452 00:18:51,990 --> 00:18:49,750 this planet might be habitable another 453 00:18:55,049 --> 00:18:52,000 way of doing this is again with modeling 454 00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:55,059 if we could use the spectrum or that the 455 00:18:59,700 --> 00:18:57,490 fingerprint of the planet to identify 456 00:19:01,980 --> 00:18:59,710 greenhouse gases in that planet's 457 00:19:04,230 --> 00:19:01,990 atmosphere we could then try to 458 00:19:06,450 --> 00:19:04,240 constrain how much greenhouse gases we 459 00:19:08,340 --> 00:19:06,460 think are present and then use climate 460 00:19:10,470 --> 00:19:08,350 models to try to infer what the likely 461 00:19:12,780 --> 00:19:10,480 surface temperature of that planet might 462 00:19:14,490 --> 00:19:12,790 be and so that might give us a hint as 463 00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:14,500 to whether liquid surface water is 464 00:19:18,330 --> 00:19:17,290 likely to be stable on the planet so 465 00:19:19,060 --> 00:19:18,340 there's there's all sorts of different 466 00:19:23,259 --> 00:19:19,070 techniques 467 00:19:24,519 --> 00:19:23,269 we're gonna use to tackle this that's a 468 00:19:26,350 --> 00:19:24,529 fantastic answer I don't know what I 469 00:19:27,700 --> 00:19:26,360 what more I can add to it apart from to 470 00:19:30,430 --> 00:19:27,710 maybe throw a bit of a spanner in the 471 00:19:32,019 --> 00:19:30,440 works and and think about some of the 472 00:19:33,940 --> 00:19:32,029 outer solar system moons that we have in 473 00:19:35,409 --> 00:19:33,950 our solar system that are in the 474 00:19:38,860 --> 00:19:35,419 habitable zone and they don't have any 475 00:19:40,180 --> 00:19:38,870 surface liquid water but many planetary 476 00:19:41,830 --> 00:19:40,190 scientists and many folks who've been 477 00:19:45,879 --> 00:19:41,840 here at the conference would consider 478 00:19:48,519 --> 00:19:45,889 them possibly to be to host a habitable 479 00:19:51,730 --> 00:19:48,529 warm liquid water ocean beneath a thick 480 00:19:53,740 --> 00:19:51,740 ice crust so it really speaks to the 481 00:19:55,570 --> 00:19:53,750 complexities of trying to detect 482 00:19:58,509 --> 00:19:55,580 habitable environments from a great 483 00:19:59,619 --> 00:19:58,519 distance when there's no surface liquid 484 00:20:00,970 --> 00:19:59,629 water and they're outside the habitable 485 00:20:03,340 --> 00:20:00,980 zone they're very very small moons 486 00:20:05,350 --> 00:20:03,350 covered in ice and so it's it's possible 487 00:20:09,999 --> 00:20:05,360 that we might be missing a few habitable 488 00:20:11,980 --> 00:20:10,009 environments in our search here yeah I 489 00:20:15,009 --> 00:20:11,990 mean that and that reminds me of 490 00:20:17,710 --> 00:20:15,019 something that I often say when I'm you 491 00:20:19,450 --> 00:20:17,720 know talking to even two astronomers 492 00:20:22,299 --> 00:20:19,460 actually to just to remind everybody 493 00:20:25,330 --> 00:20:22,309 that the earth is special in the solar 494 00:20:27,190 --> 00:20:25,340 system it's there there you know there 495 00:20:29,049 --> 00:20:27,200 may be other habitable environments we 496 00:20:32,289 --> 00:20:29,059 even within the solar system in the 497 00:20:34,539 --> 00:20:32,299 Europa under the ice shell of Europa or 498 00:20:37,930 --> 00:20:34,549 and Enceladus on the moons of the outer 499 00:20:40,450 --> 00:20:37,940 moons around outer planets but the earth 500 00:20:43,360 --> 00:20:40,460 is the only is the only world in the 501 00:20:46,690 --> 00:20:43,370 solar system that has surface life that 502 00:20:48,610 --> 00:20:46,700 is so abundant it is changing the total 503 00:20:51,669 --> 00:20:48,620 bulk chemistry of the whole atmosphere 504 00:20:53,830 --> 00:20:51,679 and to a great extent it's not that 505 00:20:55,450 --> 00:20:53,840 astronomers or but astrobiologists don't 506 00:20:56,230 --> 00:20:55,460 think that there can be other kinds of 507 00:20:59,830 --> 00:20:56,240 life out there 508 00:21:02,369 --> 00:20:59,840 it's just earth-like a life is probably 509 00:21:04,869 --> 00:21:02,379 the only kind of life that we can detect 510 00:21:06,519 --> 00:21:04,879 from interstellar distances it has to be 511 00:21:09,460 --> 00:21:06,529 surface light it has to be life that's 512 00:21:13,810 --> 00:21:09,470 so abundant that is actually changing 513 00:21:16,210 --> 00:21:13,820 the atmosphere of the planet I'm hearing 514 00:21:18,279 --> 00:21:16,220 is that habitability is not enough what 515 00:21:20,710 --> 00:21:18,289 we're looking at is detectability of 516 00:21:22,810 --> 00:21:20,720 that habitability and I think that is a 517 00:21:24,460 --> 00:21:22,820 topic that came up quite a few times a 518 00:21:26,740 --> 00:21:24,470 conference like yes we could imagine 519 00:21:28,750 --> 00:21:26,750 these subsurface environments that could 520 00:21:31,149 --> 00:21:28,760 support life but at the end of the day 521 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:31,159 if you can't detect those remotely that 522 00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:32,330 is without sending 523 00:21:36,399 --> 00:21:34,850 some kind of probe then effectively the 524 00:21:40,330 --> 00:21:36,409 client is uninhabitable as far as we're 525 00:21:41,500 --> 00:21:40,340 concerned so what I'm also seeing is 526 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:41,510 that planets are these very 527 00:21:45,789 --> 00:21:43,610 interconnected systems we're looking for 528 00:21:47,380 --> 00:21:45,799 maybe for a biological signature but 529 00:21:49,539 --> 00:21:47,390 we're also going to be seeing you know 530 00:21:51,669 --> 00:21:49,549 signs of the oceans signs of the geology 531 00:21:53,830 --> 00:21:51,679 or the planets and these are all 532 00:21:56,169 --> 00:21:53,840 intertwined not only in the signature 533 00:21:58,509 --> 00:21:56,179 that we detect but also in supporting 534 00:22:00,399 --> 00:21:58,519 one another and allowing biology to 535 00:22:04,299 --> 00:22:00,409 exist through having an active 536 00:22:06,430 --> 00:22:04,309 geological planets so when we get a a 537 00:22:09,580 --> 00:22:06,440 signature from the atmosphere or a glint 538 00:22:11,350 --> 00:22:09,590 how do we untangle what we're seeing and 539 00:22:15,549 --> 00:22:11,360 maybe distinguish habitable from 540 00:22:17,919 --> 00:22:15,559 inhabited what a great question well it 541 00:22:20,710 --> 00:22:17,929 all comes back to modeling again planets 542 00:22:23,289 --> 00:22:20,720 are extremely complicated systems of 543 00:22:25,570 --> 00:22:23,299 many interacting processes as you said 544 00:22:27,850 --> 00:22:25,580 and it is very hard to disentangle these 545 00:22:29,620 --> 00:22:27,860 processes when we look at the history of 546 00:22:32,470 --> 00:22:29,630 life on Earth we see that life is 547 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:32,480 inextricably linked to the conditions of 548 00:22:37,389 --> 00:22:34,010 our planet in the atmosphere of our 549 00:22:39,639 --> 00:22:37,399 planet we are ultimately trying to 550 00:22:41,409 --> 00:22:39,649 search for these things called bio 551 00:22:43,779 --> 00:22:41,419 signatures in the atmospheres of 552 00:22:46,870 --> 00:22:43,789 exoplanets which are gases that are 553 00:22:48,279 --> 00:22:46,880 produced by life on a planet that build 554 00:22:50,169 --> 00:22:48,289 up in a planet's atmosphere to 555 00:22:54,190 --> 00:22:50,179 detectable quantities that we could look 556 00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:54,200 for with our telescopes one excellent 557 00:22:59,919 --> 00:22:55,730 example of a bio signature is something 558 00:23:01,419 --> 00:22:59,929 that we all need we are all taking 559 00:23:03,730 --> 00:23:01,429 advantage of the fact right now that 560 00:23:06,220 --> 00:23:03,740 life is a planetary process because 561 00:23:08,139 --> 00:23:06,230 we're all breathing oxygen and the 562 00:23:10,570 --> 00:23:08,149 oxygen that we're breathing was produced 563 00:23:12,460 --> 00:23:10,580 by life it's produced by photosynthesis 564 00:23:15,810 --> 00:23:12,470 it's you know it's a metabolic 565 00:23:19,289 --> 00:23:15,820 by-product that plant life and you know 566 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:19,299 bacterial life that photosynthesizes 567 00:23:24,100 --> 00:23:22,010 emits this oxygen that has built up in 568 00:23:27,070 --> 00:23:24,110 our planet's atmosphere and dramatically 569 00:23:28,930 --> 00:23:27,080 has you know altered the character of 570 00:23:31,330 --> 00:23:28,940 our planet's atmosphere over geological 571 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:31,340 timescales and so this is what Aki was 572 00:23:34,299 --> 00:23:32,570 talking about earlier when we think 573 00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:34,309 about life we're really thinking about 574 00:23:39,159 --> 00:23:37,010 something that could modify its 575 00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:39,169 environment on a global level and we're 576 00:23:43,870 --> 00:23:41,210 looking for those global modifications 577 00:23:45,670 --> 00:23:43,880 there's some cases where it's a little 578 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:45,680 bit more tricky to disentangle the 579 00:23:49,770 --> 00:23:48,290 biology from the non biology for example 580 00:23:53,050 --> 00:23:49,780 there's methane in our atmosphere 581 00:23:55,330 --> 00:23:53,060 nothing can be produced by both life and 582 00:23:56,560 --> 00:23:55,340 non-life it can be produced by geology 583 00:23:58,900 --> 00:23:56,570 and biology 584 00:24:00,820 --> 00:23:58,910 so if you see methane in a planet's 585 00:24:02,110 --> 00:24:00,830 atmosphere its it's a little tricky to 586 00:24:05,620 --> 00:24:02,120 try to figure out where it might be 587 00:24:08,830 --> 00:24:05,630 coming from but at the same time life 588 00:24:10,690 --> 00:24:08,840 that produces methane modifies the 589 00:24:12,730 --> 00:24:10,700 planets habitability because methane is 590 00:24:14,500 --> 00:24:12,740 a greenhouse gas and so if you have a 591 00:24:16,030 --> 00:24:14,510 lot of methane producing organisms you 592 00:24:17,770 --> 00:24:16,040 might actually start to produce 593 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:17,780 feedbacks on the temperature of the 594 00:24:21,340 --> 00:24:19,970 planet it's the same with oxygen oxygen 595 00:24:23,100 --> 00:24:21,350 actually modifies the planet's 596 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:23,110 habitability because it can form ozone 597 00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:26,090 so ozone in our atmosphere forms from 598 00:24:29,770 --> 00:24:28,970 oxygen through complicated chemistry and 599 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:29,780 ozone 600 00:24:34,210 --> 00:24:32,090 blocks damaging ultraviolet radiation 601 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:34,220 from reaching the surface so in a way it 602 00:24:39,910 --> 00:24:36,770 the oxygen in our atmosphere protects us 603 00:24:43,050 --> 00:24:39,920 so it really is hard to disentangle all 604 00:24:46,690 --> 00:24:43,060 these things are so interconnected 605 00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:46,700 fantastic answer and the disentangling 606 00:24:50,710 --> 00:24:48,650 of life and the planet and planetary 607 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:50,720 processes can even be a little bit more 608 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:53,090 subtle than you know the gases in the 609 00:24:56,500 --> 00:24:54,530 atmosphere for example if we look at the 610 00:24:58,330 --> 00:24:56,510 carbonate silicate cycle which is a 611 00:25:02,170 --> 00:24:58,340 geological cycle that regulates how much 612 00:25:03,850 --> 00:25:02,180 co2 is in the atmosphere life affects 613 00:25:07,390 --> 00:25:03,860 that cycle and pretty much every stage 614 00:25:09,340 --> 00:25:07,400 so in the atmosphere how how the the 615 00:25:11,350 --> 00:25:09,350 surface is weathered and how that 616 00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:11,360 liberates materials that are then washed 617 00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:13,850 into the ocean which life in the ocean 618 00:25:17,260 --> 00:25:15,530 then then then modifies the amount of 619 00:25:19,570 --> 00:25:17,270 co2 in the atmosphere at every single 620 00:25:22,150 --> 00:25:19,580 stage in this process life is involved 621 00:25:23,650 --> 00:25:22,160 somehow and in some of my work that it's 622 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:23,660 actually very difficult to remove life 623 00:25:27,690 --> 00:25:25,730 from this process because ideally we'd 624 00:25:29,740 --> 00:25:27,700 like to we'd like to understand if 625 00:25:31,510 --> 00:25:29,750 something like the carbonate silicate 626 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:31,520 cycle could operate on a planet without 627 00:25:35,950 --> 00:25:34,250 life but we only have one planet to go 628 00:25:38,980 --> 00:25:35,960 on and it's very difficult to remove 629 00:25:40,390 --> 00:25:38,990 life for example plant life on the 630 00:25:43,900 --> 00:25:40,400 surface out of other planet is very 631 00:25:45,910 --> 00:25:43,910 effective at accelerating chemical 632 00:25:47,710 --> 00:25:45,920 weathering so that's the breaking down 633 00:25:49,570 --> 00:25:47,720 of them of the rocks of the of the 634 00:25:51,850 --> 00:25:49,580 continental crust and this is useful 635 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:51,860 because that materials and washed into 636 00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:53,930 the ocean where organisms like for manna 637 00:25:58,510 --> 00:25:56,450 for a tiny little sea creatures then use 638 00:25:59,830 --> 00:25:58,520 that to to build our shells and 639 00:26:02,350 --> 00:25:59,840 they do that they extract co2 from the 640 00:26:07,180 --> 00:26:02,360 atmosphere so it's it's so difficult to 641 00:26:09,460 --> 00:26:07,190 remove life from from the process yep so 642 00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:09,470 yeah so I'm I'm more of an astronomer in 643 00:26:15,250 --> 00:26:12,170 than an astrobiologist and so for my 644 00:26:16,930 --> 00:26:15,260 more simple thinking about this this is 645 00:26:19,120 --> 00:26:16,940 how I kind of how I think about what we 646 00:26:20,650 --> 00:26:19,130 need to do what we're going to do okay 647 00:26:22,900 --> 00:26:20,660 so we're gonna we're going to make as 648 00:26:24,850 --> 00:26:22,910 many a bunch of measurements about these 649 00:26:26,530 --> 00:26:24,860 exoplanets hopefully what are the what 650 00:26:28,210 --> 00:26:26,540 are the gases and their atmospheres what 651 00:26:30,610 --> 00:26:28,220 are their surface temperatures that that 652 00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:30,620 up that uh we're gonna make a model and 653 00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:33,170 try to explain what we see and we'll 654 00:26:38,770 --> 00:26:36,170 start with okay is this physics mmm no 655 00:26:41,350 --> 00:26:38,780 is this chemistry mm-hmm 656 00:26:43,330 --> 00:26:41,360 no ok still can't explain it what's what 657 00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:43,340 other what other science is left in the 658 00:26:46,510 --> 00:26:44,210 building well 659 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:46,520 biology haha that's that's what we're 660 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:47,810 gonna and that is how kind of how it's 661 00:26:51,970 --> 00:26:49,610 gonna be we're gonna basically you know 662 00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:51,980 try to explain try to explain what we 663 00:26:56,140 --> 00:26:53,930 see with non-life with physics and 664 00:26:58,810 --> 00:26:56,150 chemistry until we can't until we fail 665 00:27:02,320 --> 00:26:58,820 and then we will have succeeded in 666 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:02,330 finding bio signatures kind of how I 667 00:27:10,810 --> 00:27:07,010 like to think about it I I think that's 668 00:27:12,220 --> 00:27:10,820 a great answer so I see we're using the 669 00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:12,230 earth a lot I mean we've only got 670 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:19,010 obviously one planet so so we already 671 00:27:23,590 --> 00:27:21,530 got one planet where we've got life 672 00:27:25,300 --> 00:27:23,600 there and therefore we're using the 673 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:25,310 signatures that we know are coming from 674 00:27:29,710 --> 00:27:27,170 life and how they interact with our own 675 00:27:32,890 --> 00:27:29,720 geochemical cycles to help build our 676 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:32,900 model but the earth itself has changed 677 00:27:37,780 --> 00:27:35,330 over time in particular we're talking 678 00:27:40,810 --> 00:27:37,790 about oxygen as strong by a signature 679 00:27:43,540 --> 00:27:40,820 but life was on the planet before it 680 00:27:45,460 --> 00:27:43,550 started producing oxygen so are we able 681 00:27:48,390 --> 00:27:45,470 to learn not just from the current earth 682 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:48,400 but maybe also from the early Earth 683 00:27:54,190 --> 00:27:51,770 absolutely early Earth is so valuable 684 00:27:55,900 --> 00:27:54,200 from the perspective of people trying to 685 00:27:58,660 --> 00:27:55,910 understand what habitability means in a 686 00:28:00,640 --> 00:27:58,670 more general sense because our planet 687 00:28:02,830 --> 00:28:00,650 today is just you know one data point 688 00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:02,840 one example of what habitability might 689 00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:04,970 look like but if we go back in time to 690 00:28:09,460 --> 00:28:07,490 Earth's past we can actually have you 691 00:28:11,140 --> 00:28:09,470 know this array of planets that we know 692 00:28:11,799 --> 00:28:11,150 are possible we know we're both 693 00:28:14,139 --> 00:28:11,809 habitable 694 00:28:15,430 --> 00:28:14,149 and inhabited and also looked radically 695 00:28:18,009 --> 00:28:15,440 different from the planet that we live 696 00:28:20,799 --> 00:28:18,019 on today for example if you go back on 697 00:28:22,779 --> 00:28:20,809 earth before about 2.5 billion years ago 698 00:28:24,129 --> 00:28:22,789 you would need to bring an oxygen tank 699 00:28:25,539 --> 00:28:24,139 with you because there would be no 700 00:28:27,339 --> 00:28:25,549 oxidant in the air for you to breathe 701 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:27,349 and said the atmosphere would have been 702 00:28:31,989 --> 00:28:29,210 more rich potentially in gases like 703 00:28:34,089 --> 00:28:31,999 carbon dioxide and methane produced by 704 00:28:37,719 --> 00:28:34,099 methane producing life carbon dioxide 705 00:28:40,180 --> 00:28:37,729 also comes out of volcanoes so the rise 706 00:28:42,969 --> 00:28:40,190 of oxygen at about 2.5 billion years ago 707 00:28:44,379 --> 00:28:42,979 put this you know canonical biosignature 708 00:28:46,659 --> 00:28:44,389 of oxygen into our planet's atmosphere 709 00:28:48,629 --> 00:28:46,669 but thinking about what habitability 710 00:28:50,619 --> 00:28:48,639 means in absence of that and 711 00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:50,629 biosignatures an absence of that oxygen 712 00:28:56,379 --> 00:28:53,330 it's really important to study early 713 00:28:58,539 --> 00:28:56,389 earth would we recognize a planet like 714 00:29:00,810 --> 00:28:58,549 early Earth is habitable and inhabited 715 00:29:03,310 --> 00:29:00,820 it's it's tricky because like I said 716 00:29:06,249 --> 00:29:03,320 methane can be produced by both life and 717 00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:06,259 non-life and methane was potentially the 718 00:29:10,119 --> 00:29:08,210 dominant bio signature of early Earth's 719 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:10,129 atmosphere so what we're trying to do 720 00:29:13,829 --> 00:29:11,690 now is we're trying to use computer 721 00:29:15,969 --> 00:29:13,839 models as well as studies of 722 00:29:19,570 --> 00:29:15,979 microorganisms that produce methane and 723 00:29:20,859 --> 00:29:19,580 studies of for example hydrothermal vent 724 00:29:22,930 --> 00:29:20,869 systems that produce methane 725 00:29:25,930 --> 00:29:22,940 geologically to try to understand are 726 00:29:27,820 --> 00:29:25,940 there ways of teasing apart biological 727 00:29:29,950 --> 00:29:27,830 from non-biological methane that may 728 00:29:31,889 --> 00:29:29,960 have dominated on early Earth and 729 00:29:34,029 --> 00:29:31,899 potentially early earth-like exoplanets 730 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:34,039 early Earth we like to say is the most 731 00:29:37,749 --> 00:29:35,450 alien world that we have geochemical 732 00:29:47,529 --> 00:29:37,759 data for so we might as well use it as 733 00:29:48,180 --> 00:29:47,539 an analogue for alien exoplanets yeah 734 00:29:51,330 --> 00:29:48,190 actually 735 00:29:54,180 --> 00:29:51,340 interesting I that we have the one 736 00:29:56,789 --> 00:29:54,190 example of a habitable and inhabited 737 00:29:59,159 --> 00:29:56,799 planet it's very difficult I think for 738 00:30:01,980 --> 00:29:59,169 us to imagine what a habitable planet 739 00:30:05,310 --> 00:30:01,990 that is not inhabited actually looks 740 00:30:06,539 --> 00:30:05,320 like we just we don't have we don't 741 00:30:10,470 --> 00:30:06,549 really know what that looks like we need 742 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:10,480 to model more but but it is fantastic 743 00:30:14,490 --> 00:30:12,730 though that you think that the earth has 744 00:30:16,379 --> 00:30:14,500 been so different it's been inhabited 745 00:30:18,180 --> 00:30:16,389 for most of its history and it was been 746 00:30:20,669 --> 00:30:18,190 really different the whole time and it's 747 00:30:22,379 --> 00:30:20,679 funny because you know it's only 748 00:30:25,110 --> 00:30:22,389 relatively recently that astronomers 749 00:30:28,499 --> 00:30:25,120 like myself have realized that the 750 00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:28,509 modern earth isn't the only earth and in 751 00:30:32,580 --> 00:30:30,850 in I think in earlier days when we were 752 00:30:34,470 --> 00:30:32,590 thinking about designing experiments and 753 00:30:36,659 --> 00:30:34,480 hardware to execute those experiments we 754 00:30:39,539 --> 00:30:36,669 were I think we are far too focused on 755 00:30:41,789 --> 00:30:39,549 the current state of the of what the 756 00:30:43,350 --> 00:30:41,799 earth looks like that is that is 757 00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:43,360 changing and I think that isn't 758 00:30:46,879 --> 00:30:45,490 extremely it's an extremely healthy 759 00:30:49,019 --> 00:30:46,889 development that's come out of 760 00:30:51,899 --> 00:30:49,029 increasing levels of communication 761 00:30:55,259 --> 00:30:51,909 between astronomers planetary scientists 762 00:30:58,049 --> 00:30:55,269 astrobiologists and earth scientists I 763 00:31:01,110 --> 00:30:58,059 am far more confident now that we can 764 00:31:03,629 --> 00:31:01,120 design the experiment and the tool to do 765 00:31:07,470 --> 00:31:03,639 that experiment successfully now's and 766 00:31:08,970 --> 00:31:07,480 you know than 10 or 15 years ago just to 767 00:31:10,950 --> 00:31:08,980 build on that actually and even if we 768 00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:10,960 we're not thinking about life here we 769 00:31:15,090 --> 00:31:12,610 can still think about the early earth as 770 00:31:18,060 --> 00:31:15,100 a repository of information about how 771 00:31:19,619 --> 00:31:18,070 planets get built so there's in the 772 00:31:21,060 --> 00:31:19,629 geological literature there's a lot of 773 00:31:22,799 --> 00:31:21,070 debate about you know when the oceans 774 00:31:25,139 --> 00:31:22,809 and the continents formed and those 775 00:31:26,639 --> 00:31:25,149 those two elements of the planetary 776 00:31:28,830 --> 00:31:26,649 system going to be very important for 777 00:31:30,539 --> 00:31:28,840 thinking about habitability as well so 778 00:31:32,009 --> 00:31:30,549 standing up my geologist colleagues 779 00:31:34,350 --> 00:31:32,019 there's a lot that can we can learn 780 00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:34,360 about general planetary processes from 781 00:31:39,659 --> 00:31:36,490 looking at the early Earth and how 782 00:31:41,369 --> 00:31:39,669 planets are built make another point 783 00:31:43,169 --> 00:31:41,379 that I took from judges comments about 784 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:43,179 the early Earth is at this stage we're 785 00:31:48,690 --> 00:31:45,250 not really talking about very complex 786 00:31:51,149 --> 00:31:48,700 life if I'm correct the addition of 787 00:31:53,820 --> 00:31:51,159 oxygen allowed us altima to build much 788 00:31:56,369 --> 00:31:53,830 more sophisticated biological organisms 789 00:31:58,049 --> 00:31:56,379 so when we talk about searching for life 790 00:32:00,259 --> 00:31:58,059 on other planets we're not necessarily 791 00:32:01,919 --> 00:32:00,269 dashing for you know the full-on 792 00:32:04,850 --> 00:32:01,929 intelligent life with the star 793 00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:04,860 books but actually even very small 794 00:32:09,539 --> 00:32:07,570 microbial organisms can really strongly 795 00:32:11,909 --> 00:32:09,549 affect a planet and produce a bio 796 00:32:14,129 --> 00:32:11,919 signature oh yeah that's right I mean 797 00:32:15,659 --> 00:32:14,139 microbes are great at modifying the 798 00:32:17,580 --> 00:32:15,669 environment we think we're good at 799 00:32:19,799 --> 00:32:17,590 modifying the environment but microbes 800 00:32:21,299 --> 00:32:19,809 are fantastic at it because we're 801 00:32:25,350 --> 00:32:21,309 breathing their products right now right 802 00:32:27,090 --> 00:32:25,360 we're breathing oxygen so you're 803 00:32:28,739 --> 00:32:27,100 absolutely correct when you say that 804 00:32:30,570 --> 00:32:28,749 we're not necessarily looking for 805 00:32:33,090 --> 00:32:30,580 intelligent life intelligent life and 806 00:32:35,100 --> 00:32:33,100 even just complex life like macroscopic 807 00:32:37,470 --> 00:32:35,110 life that you don't need a microscope to 808 00:32:39,659 --> 00:32:37,480 see might be rare if we look at the 809 00:32:42,389 --> 00:32:39,669 evolution of life on Earth we would see 810 00:32:44,580 --> 00:32:42,399 that life has been microbial for the 811 00:32:46,470 --> 00:32:44,590 vast majority of Earth's history that we 812 00:32:48,119 --> 00:32:46,480 know life has been here you would have 813 00:32:50,129 --> 00:32:48,129 had to go back in time with a microscope 814 00:32:52,739 --> 00:32:50,139 in addition to an oxygen tank if you 815 00:32:56,310 --> 00:32:52,749 want to survive to see that the planet 816 00:32:58,619 --> 00:32:56,320 is actually inhabited so all you really 817 00:32:59,970 --> 00:32:58,629 need is you need to detect metabolic 818 00:33:02,039 --> 00:32:59,980 byproducts that are going into the 819 00:33:04,109 --> 00:33:02,049 atmosphere and if you have a robust by 820 00:33:05,460 --> 00:33:04,119 signature that's modifying its global 821 00:33:07,950 --> 00:33:05,470 environment with these metabolic 822 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:07,960 byproducts then then we can start 823 00:33:17,940 --> 00:33:15,840 so I we've taken a lot of lessons from 824 00:33:19,590 --> 00:33:17,950 the earth but there are actually seven 825 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:19,600 other planets in our solar system too 826 00:33:24,810 --> 00:33:22,690 and while none of them have the strong 827 00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:24,820 signature for life that we could detect 828 00:33:29,430 --> 00:33:27,610 in the atmosphere can we take any 829 00:33:32,009 --> 00:33:29,440 lessons from them in particular how 830 00:33:34,710 --> 00:33:32,019 about signatures that might look like 831 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:34,720 life but actually aren't are there any 832 00:33:38,190 --> 00:33:36,490 evidence of that in our solar system 833 00:33:47,230 --> 00:33:38,200 that we could use as a warning when 834 00:33:51,850 --> 00:33:47,240 looking at exoplanets I won't end 835 00:33:53,260 --> 00:33:51,860 take on well there's there's the 836 00:33:55,810 --> 00:33:53,270 controversy with the Allen Hills 837 00:33:58,900 --> 00:33:55,820 meteorite which was a Martian meteorite 838 00:34:00,700 --> 00:33:58,910 that landed in Antarctica and at first 839 00:34:02,740 --> 00:34:00,710 people thought that they may have found 840 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:02,750 Martian microbes in this meteorite and 841 00:34:06,100 --> 00:34:04,130 there was like there's a huge amount of 842 00:34:07,510 --> 00:34:06,110 publicity and excitement because we 843 00:34:11,290 --> 00:34:07,520 thought we had discovered life that had 844 00:34:12,879 --> 00:34:11,300 originated on Mars but subsequently 845 00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:12,889 after that there was quite a bit of 846 00:34:16,330 --> 00:34:14,090 controversy 847 00:34:18,010 --> 00:34:16,340 not everyone now believes that that in 848 00:34:19,629 --> 00:34:18,020 fact is Martian microbes that were 849 00:34:22,570 --> 00:34:19,639 preserved in that meteorite but perhaps 850 00:34:24,940 --> 00:34:22,580 some sort of non-biological mimic of 851 00:34:27,100 --> 00:34:24,950 microbes or some sort of earthly process 852 00:34:29,649 --> 00:34:27,110 may have produced those features so I 853 00:34:31,389 --> 00:34:29,659 think learning from the Allen Hills 854 00:34:35,139 --> 00:34:31,399 meteorite is very important because it 855 00:34:36,700 --> 00:34:35,149 shows us that we might get fooled when 856 00:34:39,580 --> 00:34:36,710 we start to look for life on other 857 00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:39,590 planets and if we're predisposed to 858 00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:42,050 seeing life we might fool ourselves 859 00:34:45,820 --> 00:34:43,610 because we might think oh this is what 860 00:34:48,639 --> 00:34:45,830 life looks like this looks like life but 861 00:34:50,770 --> 00:34:48,649 maybe it's not so we we also have to be 862 00:34:53,460 --> 00:34:50,780 thinking about what are called bio 863 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:53,470 signature false positives which are 864 00:34:58,180 --> 00:34:55,490 non-biological processes that might 865 00:34:59,590 --> 00:34:58,190 mimic biosignatures and we're spending a 866 00:35:01,780 --> 00:34:59,600 lot of time right now trying to think 867 00:35:03,670 --> 00:35:01,790 about how to tease apart true 868 00:35:09,700 --> 00:35:03,680 biosignatures from false positive bio 869 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:09,710 signatures we can also think about the 870 00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:10,970 solar system in terms of the habitable 871 00:35:15,370 --> 00:35:12,410 zone concept that we introduced earlier 872 00:35:17,230 --> 00:35:15,380 so imagine if we were viewing a whole 873 00:35:18,910 --> 00:35:17,240 solar system from a great distance and 874 00:35:21,460 --> 00:35:18,920 we were looking at the habitable zone of 875 00:35:22,090 --> 00:35:21,470 the Sun we might see three planets in 876 00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:22,100 there 877 00:35:25,990 --> 00:35:24,170 we might see Venus we might see earth 878 00:35:27,490 --> 00:35:26,000 and we might see Mars now depending on 879 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:27,500 where you set your limits and I think 880 00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:30,170 that illustrates the some of the issues 881 00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:32,090 that we've raised with the habitable 882 00:35:35,380 --> 00:35:33,770 zone because we know Venus isn't 883 00:35:36,609 --> 00:35:35,390 inhabitable because of the atmospheric 884 00:35:38,830 --> 00:35:36,619 processes that are going on to very 885 00:35:40,390 --> 00:35:38,840 thick co2 atmosphere and we know Mars 886 00:35:42,250 --> 00:35:40,400 isn't really a habitable because it's 887 00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:42,260 very thin atmosphere and very cold and 888 00:35:47,020 --> 00:35:44,330 geologically inactive so that can 889 00:35:49,240 --> 00:35:47,030 provide us with you know a warning in in 890 00:35:51,010 --> 00:35:49,250 that respect and we can also look at the 891 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:51,020 solar system a bit more generally in 892 00:35:55,690 --> 00:35:53,450 terms of the population of other star 893 00:35:58,840 --> 00:35:55,700 systems we have to say is our solar 894 00:36:00,080 --> 00:35:58,850 system somehow weird and I personally I 895 00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:00,090 think it is kind of weird because 896 00:36:04,670 --> 00:36:02,850 we found a lot of these these these 897 00:36:06,770 --> 00:36:04,680 worlds that are classed as either mini 898 00:36:08,210 --> 00:36:06,780 Neptune's or super Earths RQ mentioned 899 00:36:09,530 --> 00:36:08,220 earlier and we don't have one of those 900 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:09,540 in our solar system and I'm really sad 901 00:36:13,790 --> 00:36:11,370 about that because they seem very 902 00:36:16,340 --> 00:36:13,800 interesting planets to study that 903 00:36:18,650 --> 00:36:16,350 provide that transition between small 904 00:36:21,140 --> 00:36:18,660 rocky planets and the much larger gas 905 00:36:22,940 --> 00:36:21,150 giants so even if we're not thinking 906 00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:22,950 about life maybe in this context we can 907 00:36:26,990 --> 00:36:24,810 think about the general lessons we can 908 00:36:29,900 --> 00:36:27,000 learn from our solar system in terms of 909 00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:29,910 planets the planetary processes yeah I 910 00:36:33,230 --> 00:36:31,650 mean for sure and I guess we said 911 00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:33,240 earlier somehow that you know the earth 912 00:36:37,460 --> 00:36:35,370 defines the habitable zone but actually 913 00:36:40,220 --> 00:36:37,470 I want to modify that and as you said 914 00:36:41,110 --> 00:36:40,230 it's actually it's you know it's Venus 915 00:36:43,910 --> 00:36:41,120 Earth and Mars 916 00:36:46,310 --> 00:36:43,920 tell us about the habitable zone define 917 00:36:48,470 --> 00:36:46,320 a habitable zone and again like you said 918 00:36:50,510 --> 00:36:48,480 it's very obvious that just being in the 919 00:36:55,100 --> 00:36:50,520 habitable zone is not enough to make you 920 00:36:56,480 --> 00:36:55,110 habitable but we learn a lot about what 921 00:36:57,860 --> 00:36:56,490 we do we've learned a lot about the 922 00:37:03,050 --> 00:36:57,870 concept of habitability though by 923 00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:03,060 studying studying planet Venus and Mars 924 00:37:09,140 --> 00:37:05,370 through time like for example we know 925 00:37:11,540 --> 00:37:09,150 that Mars Mars had liquid water on its 926 00:37:13,430 --> 00:37:11,550 surface early in its history flowing 927 00:37:13,940 --> 00:37:13,440 across the surface it was a habitable 928 00:37:16,970 --> 00:37:13,950 planet 929 00:37:18,950 --> 00:37:16,980 so we by understanding by studying like 930 00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:18,960 what happened to Mars to make it not 931 00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:21,330 habitable over time we learn a lot about 932 00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:24,210 what that word means about what the word 933 00:37:29,510 --> 00:37:27,210 habitable means similarly for Venus I 934 00:37:31,580 --> 00:37:29,520 think you're the one who told me I think 935 00:37:33,170 --> 00:37:31,590 first like that Venus in its early 936 00:37:37,460 --> 00:37:33,180 history was a lot more earth-like and 937 00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:37,470 that was news to me for sure and again 938 00:37:42,620 --> 00:37:40,050 that looking at what happened for a 939 00:37:46,130 --> 00:37:42,630 planet to to lose its habitable 940 00:37:49,910 --> 00:37:46,140 capability it really teaches us a lot 941 00:37:50,390 --> 00:37:49,920 about what we need about about where to 942 00:37:56,810 --> 00:37:50,400 look 943 00:37:59,630 --> 00:37:56,820 does and you know I'm just just many 944 00:38:02,420 --> 00:37:59,640 many things and actually I'm really I'm 945 00:38:05,090 --> 00:38:02,430 really encouraged that I think that 946 00:38:06,950 --> 00:38:05,100 we're starting to you know break down 947 00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:06,960 this sort of artificial distinction 948 00:38:12,100 --> 00:38:10,650 between planets and exoplanets that 949 00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:12,110 they're just 950 00:38:17,530 --> 00:38:14,770 just getting there just planets you know 951 00:38:20,980 --> 00:38:17,540 everywhere and there are a great many of 952 00:38:23,470 --> 00:38:20,990 them they span a huge range of diversity 953 00:38:24,700 --> 00:38:23,480 far more than what we and the ones we 954 00:38:26,380 --> 00:38:24,710 have in aren't just the ones in our 955 00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:26,390 solar system actually it's kind of 956 00:38:31,780 --> 00:38:29,930 amazing how well the planet formation 957 00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:31,790 process actually works my personal 958 00:38:35,830 --> 00:38:33,290 research is actually in planet formation 959 00:38:38,230 --> 00:38:35,840 and you know and when I was an undergrad 960 00:38:40,930 --> 00:38:38,240 we thought that everything had to be 961 00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:40,940 just right to make the solar system the 962 00:38:45,720 --> 00:38:43,010 models could just barely do it and in 963 00:38:48,370 --> 00:38:45,730 fact they kind of couldn't even do that 964 00:38:51,580 --> 00:38:48,380 but it seems so inevitable that you 965 00:38:54,970 --> 00:38:51,590 would have small rocky planets closest 966 00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:54,980 are big giant gas ball further from the 967 00:38:58,420 --> 00:38:56,330 start and it didn't seem like you could 968 00:39:00,270 --> 00:38:58,430 make any planetary system different than 969 00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:00,280 that that it would be impossible and 970 00:39:06,010 --> 00:39:04,130 then the first exoplanets were 971 00:39:08,470 --> 00:39:06,020 discovered they were Jupiter's orbiting 972 00:39:11,050 --> 00:39:08,480 closer to their star than mercury orbits 973 00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:11,060 the Sun and then Kepler came along and 974 00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:13,490 just exploded it there are all sizes of 975 00:39:18,580 --> 00:39:15,530 planets out there at all distances it's 976 00:39:22,240 --> 00:39:18,590 a spectrum it's not kind of binary like 977 00:39:24,820 --> 00:39:22,250 it is in the in the solar system and in 978 00:39:26,380 --> 00:39:24,830 some ways that you've given how much 979 00:39:28,540 --> 00:39:26,390 nature surpassed our theoretical 980 00:39:30,370 --> 00:39:28,550 expectations is also one of the things 981 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:30,380 that makes me sort of hopeful that we 982 00:39:34,240 --> 00:39:32,170 are going to succeed in finding 983 00:39:39,010 --> 00:39:34,250 habitable worlds out there and maybe 984 00:39:42,190 --> 00:39:39,020 even inhabited ones so rolling on with 985 00:39:43,660 --> 00:39:42,200 that actually to say well there's a lot 986 00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:43,670 of logic in looking for earth-like life 987 00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:46,130 because we have so much data and in fact 988 00:39:50,860 --> 00:39:48,170 the only data we have is a earth like 989 00:39:52,930 --> 00:39:50,870 life easy impossible to envisage a 990 00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:52,940 planet very unlike the earth supporting 991 00:39:59,020 --> 00:39:55,370 life or maybe supporting very unlike 992 00:40:01,090 --> 00:39:59,030 earth life I think it's possible to 993 00:40:03,250 --> 00:40:01,100 envision it for example again if we look 994 00:40:05,140 --> 00:40:03,260 at the outer solar system moons not very 995 00:40:07,870 --> 00:40:05,150 much likely earth but potentially able 996 00:40:10,870 --> 00:40:07,880 to support life but in terms of looking 997 00:40:11,950 --> 00:40:10,880 for life that's not like the life on the 998 00:40:14,110 --> 00:40:11,960 earth that's where it becomes 999 00:40:15,730 --> 00:40:14,120 problematic because we just don't know 1000 00:40:19,690 --> 00:40:15,740 how to do it you know sure we can 1001 00:40:22,270 --> 00:40:19,700 imagine maybe a some exotic bye-bye okay 1002 00:40:24,160 --> 00:40:22,280 sorry some exotic biochemistry but we 1003 00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:24,170 wouldn't know how to test for it so it's 1004 00:40:27,890 --> 00:40:25,890 I would argue it's not necessary sign 1005 00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:27,900 to actually try and try and look for 1006 00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:28,890 something that we wouldn't know how to 1007 00:40:35,390 --> 00:40:30,810 detect so it wouldn't know how to find 1008 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:35,400 in the first place I think that's a good 1009 00:40:41,330 --> 00:40:38,490 answer I think we need to start use 1010 00:40:44,930 --> 00:40:41,340 earth as a starting point maybe someday 1011 00:40:46,730 --> 00:40:44,940 we will find exotic life but we can only 1012 00:40:48,620 --> 00:40:46,740 stretch our imaginations so far I think 1013 00:40:51,140 --> 00:40:48,630 before we start to come up with things 1014 00:40:56,870 --> 00:40:51,150 that might not be actually chemically or 1015 00:40:59,270 --> 00:40:56,880 physically possible that being said you 1016 00:41:02,240 --> 00:40:59,280 know when the tools that we want to 1017 00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:02,250 design to find earth-like planets or 1018 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:04,290 even the earth through time like planets 1019 00:41:09,620 --> 00:41:06,690 I mean they will give us the ability to 1020 00:41:11,780 --> 00:41:09,630 you know to just collect the basic data 1021 00:41:15,260 --> 00:41:11,790 that might have the signature of 1022 00:41:17,090 --> 00:41:15,270 weirdness of something weird in there so 1023 00:41:19,970 --> 00:41:17,100 it's not like we won't have the 1024 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:19,980 capability actually of detecting life 1025 00:41:22,490 --> 00:41:21,330 that was different from the earth but 1026 00:41:23,420 --> 00:41:22,500 what we would have way to have some data 1027 00:41:25,910 --> 00:41:23,430 that we were just really weird 1028 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:25,920 impossible to explain and we'd spend the 1029 00:41:29,060 --> 00:41:27,210 theist would spend I don't know how long 1030 00:41:32,090 --> 00:41:29,070 just trying to like figure out what it 1031 00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:32,100 meant and maybe they never could but 1032 00:41:37,640 --> 00:41:34,970 it's possible maybe they could too so 1033 00:41:39,290 --> 00:41:37,650 it's a very last question from me before 1034 00:41:41,030 --> 00:41:39,300 we turn over to the audience we've 1035 00:41:43,850 --> 00:41:41,040 talked about the planet but what about 1036 00:41:45,260 --> 00:41:43,860 the star so does the star matter we 1037 00:41:47,330 --> 00:41:45,270 found a lot of planets in particular 1038 00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:47,340 around stars that aren't so much like 1039 00:41:50,780 --> 00:41:49,290 our own Sun in particular these red 1040 00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:50,790 dwarfs that were mentioned earlier and 1041 00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:53,010 because they're small and dim it 1042 00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:54,690 actually makes the planets easier to 1043 00:41:59,450 --> 00:41:57,330 find but is that where our consideration 1044 00:42:01,340 --> 00:41:59,460 needs to stop just say okay there are 1045 00:42:03,350 --> 00:42:01,350 some stars where we can find planets 1046 00:42:05,870 --> 00:42:03,360 more easily or do we have to take it 1047 00:42:07,550 --> 00:42:05,880 further and say the star itself also 1048 00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:07,560 affects the planet and we need to 1049 00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:08,610 consider it when talking about 1050 00:42:18,500 --> 00:42:15,330 habitability yes irrefutably yes yeah 1051 00:42:20,630 --> 00:42:18,510 and red dwarfs are our favorite because 1052 00:42:22,310 --> 00:42:20,640 as you mentioned we can find planets 1053 00:42:23,420 --> 00:42:22,320 around them relatively easily and there 1054 00:42:25,550 --> 00:42:23,430 are a lot of them out there they're the 1055 00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:25,560 most common type of star in our galaxy 1056 00:42:30,020 --> 00:42:27,690 and for me personally I find them very 1057 00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:30,030 interesting because of how gradually 1058 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:32,610 they evolve across their main sequence 1059 00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:33,810 like they're the main part of their 1060 00:42:36,590 --> 00:42:34,410 lifetime 1061 00:42:38,450 --> 00:42:36,600 and how how their luminosity their 1062 00:42:39,210 --> 00:42:38,460 brightness changes but there are a lot 1063 00:42:42,359 --> 00:42:39,220 of 1064 00:42:46,589 --> 00:42:42,369 understand and are not able to properly 1065 00:42:47,940 --> 00:42:46,599 model with with red dwarfs flowering for 1066 00:42:50,430 --> 00:42:47,950 example they very some of them are very 1067 00:42:53,190 --> 00:42:50,440 very active and emit very high energy 1068 00:42:55,109 --> 00:42:53,200 flares might impact the surface of the 1069 00:42:58,020 --> 00:42:55,119 planet which would have deleterious 1070 00:42:59,820 --> 00:42:58,030 effects on any life on the surface but 1071 00:43:01,410 --> 00:42:59,830 then we're not too sure about that there 1072 00:43:02,720 --> 00:43:01,420 could be other other elements to the 1073 00:43:05,849 --> 00:43:02,730 planetary system that might shield 1074 00:43:08,010 --> 00:43:05,859 organisms from from those effects so 1075 00:43:10,620 --> 00:43:08,020 it's it's early days and observations 1076 00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:10,630 and models and theories all needs are 1077 00:43:15,150 --> 00:43:13,810 going to help us to better understand 1078 00:43:17,700 --> 00:43:15,160 all the effect of star and planet 1079 00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:17,710 interactions yeah and I should say the 1080 00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:20,770 first the first you know potentially 1081 00:43:25,650 --> 00:43:23,050 habitable exoplanets so we're going to 1082 00:43:28,410 --> 00:43:25,660 be studying their atmospheres in detail 1083 00:43:30,390 --> 00:43:28,420 we'll be around red dwarf stars that is 1084 00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:30,400 just that is just that's just the way it 1085 00:43:34,109 --> 00:43:31,930 is because of the capabilities of the 1086 00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:34,119 tools that we have coming up because as 1087 00:43:37,530 --> 00:43:35,890 you say they're easier it's easier to 1088 00:43:42,390 --> 00:43:37,540 see a small planet around a small star 1089 00:43:42,930 --> 00:43:42,400 than a big star but that being said I we 1090 00:43:44,339 --> 00:43:42,940 just 1091 00:43:47,010 --> 00:43:44,349 they're very those stars are very 1092 00:43:48,930 --> 00:43:47,020 different from the Sun and there are 1093 00:43:50,609 --> 00:43:48,940 several wheat we this whole week we've 1094 00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:50,619 been talking about you know several 1095 00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:52,810 different reasons why that might really 1096 00:43:58,349 --> 00:43:56,650 not be a nice place to live so I think 1097 00:44:01,260 --> 00:43:58,359 we're gonna study them we absolutely 1098 00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:01,270 have to and we will but we can't stop 1099 00:44:06,900 --> 00:44:03,330 there we also need to build the 1100 00:44:08,940 --> 00:44:06,910 capabilities and the tools to study the 1101 00:44:10,890 --> 00:44:08,950 study the systems that are more like the 1102 00:44:13,550 --> 00:44:10,900 solar system with you know an 1103 00:44:16,620 --> 00:44:13,560 earth-sized planet and a sun-like star 1104 00:44:18,839 --> 00:44:16,630 because is for the moment anyway that is 1105 00:44:21,599 --> 00:44:18,849 the only you know star planet pairing 1106 00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:21,609 that we know for sure can be habitable 1107 00:44:27,240 --> 00:44:24,970 and inhabited so we really do we have to 1108 00:44:29,220 --> 00:44:27,250 do we have to we have to explore the 1109 00:44:31,109 --> 00:44:29,230 print you know the range of things that 1110 00:44:33,390 --> 00:44:31,119 can happen but we also need to look for 1111 00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:33,400 the what we are look for us look for 1112 00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:36,010 ourselves it's almost the same argument 1113 00:44:45,270 --> 00:44:38,530 with looking for exotic life as looking 1114 00:44:47,580 --> 00:44:45,280 for an exotic habitable environment Hey 1115 00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:47,590 discussion so far so at this point we're 1116 00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:49,090 gonna take some questions from our live 1117 00:44:55,800 --> 00:44:52,930 audience here Sarah Brothers National 1118 00:44:58,320 --> 00:44:55,810 Academies so in this panel you have 1119 00:45:02,160 --> 00:44:58,330 really emphasized the importance of 1120 00:45:04,410 --> 00:45:02,170 liquid water as kind of a definition of 1121 00:45:07,740 --> 00:45:04,420 a habitable planet or a necessity of 1122 00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:07,750 habitability but if we step back and 1123 00:45:11,550 --> 00:45:09,850 look at kind of the two most basic 1124 00:45:14,190 --> 00:45:11,560 assumptions we can make which is that 1125 00:45:15,810 --> 00:45:14,200 life is carbon-based probably the only 1126 00:45:18,150 --> 00:45:15,820 thing we would recognize at this moment 1127 00:45:21,450 --> 00:45:18,160 and then through its process as it 1128 00:45:24,990 --> 00:45:21,460 creates really complex molecules why 1129 00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:25,000 water why not something like the liquid 1130 00:45:31,559 --> 00:45:31,090 methane and ethane we see on Titan those 1131 00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:31,569 interests 1132 00:45:35,339 --> 00:45:33,130 actually I mean someone was talking 1133 00:45:37,709 --> 00:45:35,349 about that water is you know you know I 1134 00:45:40,439 --> 00:45:37,719 guess for you know for for chemical 1135 00:45:44,579 --> 00:45:40,449 reactions to go you need a liquid a 1136 00:45:46,829 --> 00:45:44,589 solvent and water is a special it's 1137 00:45:49,979 --> 00:45:46,839 better than the liquid methane because 1138 00:45:52,349 --> 00:45:49,989 it you know as I kind of realized today 1139 00:45:55,349 --> 00:45:52,359 in fact it is liquid at a very wide 1140 00:45:58,739 --> 00:45:55,359 range of temperatures unlike unlike 1141 00:46:00,839 --> 00:45:58,749 methane for example liquid methane yeah 1142 00:46:02,279 --> 00:46:00,849 yeah water is frankly kind of weird you 1143 00:46:04,109 --> 00:46:02,289 know and when we think about Isis as 1144 00:46:06,359 --> 00:46:04,119 well and how how they can exist in lots 1145 00:46:08,849 --> 00:46:06,369 of weird exotic States and it's just a 1146 00:46:11,219 --> 00:46:08,859 very effective solvent and it's 1147 00:46:12,779 --> 00:46:11,229 ubiquitous it's very common we've 1148 00:46:15,209 --> 00:46:12,789 detected it interstellar space we detect 1149 00:46:16,799 --> 00:46:15,219 a around have we do I might not make 1150 00:46:18,870 --> 00:46:16,809 that statement and I don't know if we've 1151 00:46:20,549 --> 00:46:18,880 detected around other other stars yet we 1152 00:46:22,019 --> 00:46:20,559 have okay yeah so we've detected around 1153 00:46:23,670 --> 00:46:22,029 other stars and in interstellar medium 1154 00:46:25,019 --> 00:46:23,680 so we know it's out there and we know 1155 00:46:29,789 --> 00:46:25,029 it's common and we know it's effective 1156 00:46:31,079 --> 00:46:29,799 at being a solvent I have anything I 1157 00:46:33,180 --> 00:46:31,089 would add is the place where we've also 1158 00:46:35,249 --> 00:46:33,190 seen liquid methane would be and the 1159 00:46:37,049 --> 00:46:35,259 Saturn moon Titan and it should be noted 1160 00:46:38,939 --> 00:46:37,059 that of course it's incredibly cold to 1161 00:46:41,759 --> 00:46:38,949 have liquid methane and chemical 1162 00:46:43,829 --> 00:46:41,769 reactions don't occur quickly when it's 1163 00:46:46,349 --> 00:46:43,839 very cold so although you could imagine 1164 00:46:48,299 --> 00:46:46,359 another solvent that had the same three 1165 00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:48,309 phases so you know liquid solid and a 1166 00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:50,650 gas on a planet if the temperature 1167 00:46:54,959 --> 00:46:53,170 needed to do that was very very low it 1168 00:46:58,589 --> 00:46:54,969 would be hard to have fast enough 1169 00:47:04,500 --> 00:46:58,599 reactions to build up molecules and 1170 00:47:06,930 --> 00:47:04,510 things thank you 1171 00:47:09,150 --> 00:47:06,940 all right next question I am Mike Wong 1172 00:47:10,950 --> 00:47:09,160 from Cal Tech as Andrew mentioned 1173 00:47:13,349 --> 00:47:10,960 there's been a lot of buzz in the space 1174 00:47:16,050 --> 00:47:13,359 community around Jupiter's moon Europa 1175 00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:16,060 and Saturn's moon Enceladus as possible 1176 00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:17,890 habitable environments so I was 1177 00:47:22,140 --> 00:47:19,810 wondering with the new telescopes that 1178 00:47:24,150 --> 00:47:22,150 are coming online in the next couple of 1179 00:47:31,170 --> 00:47:24,160 years and decades what are the prospects 1180 00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:31,180 for detecting exomoons yeah we um it's 1181 00:47:36,510 --> 00:47:34,690 that's that's hard I mean the planet is 1182 00:47:39,510 --> 00:47:36,520 just attacking the planets it's hard 1183 00:47:43,080 --> 00:47:39,520 enough but the moons we did we did try a 1184 00:47:44,609 --> 00:47:43,090 simulation with this this blue for a 1185 00:47:47,580 --> 00:47:44,619 mission concept that I've been working 1186 00:47:50,010 --> 00:47:47,590 on that is a really that is a really 1187 00:47:54,210 --> 00:47:50,020 ambitious mission it's a large that has 1188 00:47:56,160 --> 00:47:54,220 a very large telescope diameter and I 1189 00:47:58,170 --> 00:47:56,170 think with this we did a simulation 1190 00:48:00,390 --> 00:47:58,180 where we look to see if we could if you 1191 00:48:02,940 --> 00:48:00,400 put like a warm put a Jupiter at one 1192 00:48:04,349 --> 00:48:02,950 astronomical unit from a from a star 1193 00:48:08,220 --> 00:48:04,359 right you know basically where the earth 1194 00:48:11,010 --> 00:48:08,230 is from the Sun and had it orbited by an 1195 00:48:15,750 --> 00:48:11,020 earth-like moon he called this model and 1196 00:48:17,750 --> 00:48:15,760 or of course could you to tell that 1197 00:48:20,970 --> 00:48:17,760 there was a moon there and could you 1198 00:48:23,070 --> 00:48:20,980 separate the spectra the the light from 1199 00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:23,080 the moon and the light from the Jupiter 1200 00:48:28,050 --> 00:48:25,570 the warm Jupiter and I think we 1201 00:48:31,470 --> 00:48:28,060 concluded that you could tell that the 1202 00:48:34,109 --> 00:48:31,480 moon was there you could detect it but 1203 00:48:36,120 --> 00:48:34,119 you couldn't cleanly separate the light 1204 00:48:38,849 --> 00:48:36,130 from one or the other you know from the 1205 00:48:40,830 --> 00:48:38,859 moon from the planet so that would to 1206 00:48:43,590 --> 00:48:40,840 really do that well that's a that's 1207 00:48:46,020 --> 00:48:43,600 another level generation beyond you know 1208 00:48:47,359 --> 00:48:46,030 even the large lu4 telescope them that 1209 00:48:52,830 --> 00:48:47,369 we've been talking about 1210 00:48:54,900 --> 00:48:52,840 thanks next question hi I'm Joe Hren Oh 1211 00:48:56,550 --> 00:48:54,910 from George Mason University and I was 1212 00:48:58,980 --> 00:48:56,560 curious what do you all think that 1213 00:49:02,400 --> 00:48:58,990 exoplanet research can teach us about 1214 00:49:06,750 --> 00:49:02,410 the future of the earth that's a great 1215 00:49:07,259 --> 00:49:06,760 question that really is if we look at 1216 00:49:08,489 --> 00:49:07,269 the soleus 1217 00:49:10,559 --> 00:49:08,499 for example if we look at it I know 1218 00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:10,569 you'll keep soul systems not an exit 1219 00:49:13,739 --> 00:49:11,890 plan of course but we look to Venus 1220 00:49:15,479 --> 00:49:13,749 Venus might be an indicator of the 1221 00:49:19,049 --> 00:49:15,489 future of the earth unfortunately and it 1222 00:49:22,439 --> 00:49:19,059 doesn't doesn't look too great but again 1223 00:49:25,919 --> 00:49:22,449 we can we can use the vast number of 1224 00:49:27,870 --> 00:49:25,929 planets we know about and put them into 1225 00:49:29,999 --> 00:49:27,880 a modeling framework that can help us to 1226 00:49:31,979 --> 00:49:30,009 understand the processes that control 1227 00:49:34,380 --> 00:49:31,989 planetary evolution and by that I mean 1228 00:49:36,389 --> 00:49:34,390 how planets change over time we can find 1229 00:49:38,849 --> 00:49:36,399 planets in different stages potentially 1230 00:49:41,370 --> 00:49:38,859 of their geochemical evolution how their 1231 00:49:44,609 --> 00:49:41,380 atmospheres have have changed in 1232 00:49:46,589 --> 00:49:44,619 response to either interior processes 1233 00:49:49,380 --> 00:49:46,599 going on in the planet itself or from 1234 00:49:51,389 --> 00:49:49,390 interactions with the star so we have a 1235 00:49:53,189 --> 00:49:51,399 we have a snapshot in time when it comes 1236 00:49:54,599 --> 00:49:53,199 to the solar system at the moment we can 1237 00:49:56,519 --> 00:49:54,609 investigate the early Earth but we can 1238 00:49:58,759 --> 00:49:56,529 look to other star systems out of 1239 00:50:01,589 --> 00:49:58,769 different ages to see how how planets 1240 00:50:03,389 --> 00:50:01,599 might have changed over time in those 1241 00:50:05,579 --> 00:50:03,399 particular environments and make some 1242 00:50:06,749 --> 00:50:05,589 inferences about what the future what 1243 00:50:09,049 --> 00:50:06,759 the future might be in store for Earth 1244 00:50:11,219 --> 00:50:09,059 but of course we have to consider human 1245 00:50:12,749 --> 00:50:11,229 influences on on the planet as well 1246 00:50:14,099 --> 00:50:12,759 which isn't something that AXA planets 1247 00:50:17,879 --> 00:50:14,109 at this stage can't really teach us 1248 00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:17,889 anything about what I think will be 1249 00:50:20,969 --> 00:50:19,089 great about finding earth-like 1250 00:50:23,399 --> 00:50:20,979 exoplanets is that it will put our 1251 00:50:26,759 --> 00:50:23,409 planet into a cosmic context where we 1252 00:50:29,569 --> 00:50:26,769 will finally understand how precious is 1253 00:50:32,069 --> 00:50:29,579 earth how common do Earth's occur how 1254 00:50:34,499 --> 00:50:32,079 common is life or how rare and precious 1255 00:50:36,899 --> 00:50:34,509 is life these are very very deep 1256 00:50:38,789 --> 00:50:36,909 questions that discovering other 1257 00:50:43,769 --> 00:50:38,799 inhabited worlds will finally tell us 1258 00:50:46,829 --> 00:50:43,779 the answers to yeah I mean you know on 1259 00:50:48,089 --> 00:50:46,839 the one hand I think all of us on the 1260 00:50:50,609 --> 00:50:48,099 stage and at this conference we're 1261 00:50:52,109 --> 00:50:50,619 fundamentally optimistic about that we 1262 00:50:54,989 --> 00:50:52,119 think there are habitable planets out 1263 00:50:57,299 --> 00:50:54,999 there and yet at the same time I look at 1264 00:50:59,729 --> 00:50:57,309 the solar system and I and I think like 1265 00:51:02,549 --> 00:50:59,739 wow you know earth this is like Earth 1266 00:51:04,229 --> 00:51:02,559 this is Hawaii we have the best spot in 1267 00:51:07,589 --> 00:51:04,239 the whole solar system and everything 1268 00:51:09,719 --> 00:51:07,599 else everything else is not nearly as 1269 00:51:12,029 --> 00:51:09,729 nice so then sometimes I think okay 1270 00:51:14,370 --> 00:51:12,039 maybe we are you know maybe we are rare 1271 00:51:16,469 --> 00:51:14,380 and I go back and forth on this you know 1272 00:51:18,709 --> 00:51:16,479 are we got are there lots of EXO Earth's 1273 00:51:20,640 --> 00:51:18,719 out there or are there very few 1274 00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:20,650 sometimes I you know 1275 00:51:24,029 --> 00:51:22,210 so many exoplanets out there that makes 1276 00:51:25,680 --> 00:51:24,039 me optimistic on the handling and I look 1277 00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:25,690 at the solar system and it's just not 1278 00:51:33,359 --> 00:51:29,410 you know we have the best spot for Shore 1279 00:51:35,789 --> 00:51:33,369 and I think that actually finding out 1280 00:51:37,380 --> 00:51:35,799 what those XO earths are like what their 1281 00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:37,390 their surfaces are like their conditions 1282 00:51:40,829 --> 00:51:39,130 are atmosphere everything like that's 1283 00:51:43,950 --> 00:51:40,839 what we need to do for to like settle 1284 00:51:45,539 --> 00:51:43,960 this for me you know to find out you 1285 00:51:51,180 --> 00:51:45,549 have to really find out are we you know 1286 00:51:53,010 --> 00:51:51,190 are we common or are we rare and you 1287 00:51:56,250 --> 00:51:53,020 know and for me also too I mean oh I'm 1288 00:51:58,920 --> 00:51:56,260 interested I'm interested in um I'm 1289 00:52:00,359 --> 00:51:58,930 interested in habitable planets that are 1290 00:52:03,359 --> 00:52:00,369 inhabited I'm also interested in 1291 00:52:05,849 --> 00:52:03,369 habitable planets that are not inhabited 1292 00:52:10,230 --> 00:52:05,859 not currently inhabited because you know 1293 00:52:16,309 --> 00:52:10,240 III think someday they will be you know 1294 00:52:19,349 --> 00:52:16,319 so we will make them inhabited thank you 1295 00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:19,359 next question by Sean da Michael Goldman 1296 00:52:22,740 --> 00:52:21,130 NASA Goddard and I actually have a whole 1297 00:52:24,510 --> 00:52:22,750 series of questions that have come in 1298 00:52:26,789 --> 00:52:24,520 from the public using the ask NASA 1299 00:52:28,589 --> 00:52:26,799 hashtag on Twitter and Facebook so if 1300 00:52:30,329 --> 00:52:28,599 you're watching this live you can also 1301 00:52:32,670 --> 00:52:30,339 get your questions into the panel that 1302 00:52:34,019 --> 00:52:32,680 way the first question is actually 1303 00:52:35,910 --> 00:52:34,029 follow-on to the thing that was just 1304 00:52:37,200 --> 00:52:35,920 being discussed how many planets would 1305 00:52:39,299 --> 00:52:37,210 we need to survey with these telescopes 1306 00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:39,309 before we can strongly state whether 1307 00:52:46,220 --> 00:52:44,970 life is abundant okay I think 1308 00:52:48,109 --> 00:52:46,230 actually kind of a it's a two-stage 1309 00:52:52,099 --> 00:52:48,119 question I think the first thing we need 1310 00:52:54,050 --> 00:52:52,109 to ask is you know of those rocky 1311 00:52:57,080 --> 00:52:54,060 planets in the habitable zone how many 1312 00:52:57,859 --> 00:52:57,090 of them are actually habitable so that's 1313 00:53:00,770 --> 00:52:57,869 stage one 1314 00:53:03,560 --> 00:53:00,780 you know that's water so say for example 1315 00:53:05,150 --> 00:53:03,570 you know ten percent if ten percent of 1316 00:53:07,820 --> 00:53:05,160 those rocks in the habitable zone 1317 00:53:09,620 --> 00:53:07,830 actually are you know have habitable 1318 00:53:13,310 --> 00:53:09,630 surface conditions are nice and warm and 1319 00:53:15,530 --> 00:53:13,320 wet you would need to observe you would 1320 00:53:20,060 --> 00:53:15,540 need to study about thirty of them both 1321 00:53:23,450 --> 00:53:20,070 to be sure that you would get one true 1322 00:53:25,310 --> 00:53:23,460 EXO earth true Earth twin at the sort of 1323 00:53:27,260 --> 00:53:25,320 ninety-five percent confidence level so 1324 00:53:28,640 --> 00:53:27,270 you know so but we really want to do 1325 00:53:33,109 --> 00:53:28,650 here is you want to study we want to be 1326 00:53:35,990 --> 00:53:33,119 able to to sort of characterize in many 1327 00:53:37,550 --> 00:53:36,000 different ways actually you know at 1328 00:53:40,640 --> 00:53:37,560 several dozen so I'm going to say I 1329 00:53:42,890 --> 00:53:40,650 think several several dozens of rocky 1330 00:53:45,859 --> 00:53:42,900 planet candidates the habitable zones of 1331 00:53:46,970 --> 00:53:45,869 nearby stars several dozens but of 1332 00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:46,980 course that's just that's stage one 1333 00:53:51,710 --> 00:53:48,930 that's about is our there that's about 1334 00:53:54,290 --> 00:53:51,720 finding out what the sort of the 1335 00:53:57,260 --> 00:53:54,300 frequency of habitable conditions is 1336 00:54:01,010 --> 00:53:57,270 Stage two would be of those how many of 1337 00:54:02,690 --> 00:54:01,020 them are inhabited and I don't know how 1338 00:54:04,490 --> 00:54:02,700 many we need to look at to see that we 1339 00:54:06,079 --> 00:54:04,500 just don't know we just don't know 1340 00:54:08,450 --> 00:54:06,089 enough about how life arose on this 1341 00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:08,460 planet you know whether it's inevitable 1342 00:54:15,349 --> 00:54:10,970 or extremely rare or anything it's just 1343 00:54:17,839 --> 00:54:15,359 anyway sounds like we need to do the 1344 00:54:19,849 --> 00:54:17,849 experiment actually observe the planets 1345 00:54:21,589 --> 00:54:19,859 I mean at least one thing we do know 1346 00:54:23,810 --> 00:54:21,599 from life on earth is that it appears 1347 00:54:26,690 --> 00:54:23,820 that life on Earth arose very early in 1348 00:54:30,020 --> 00:54:26,700 Earth's history so perhaps that means 1349 00:54:32,510 --> 00:54:30,030 that once conditions are right for the 1350 00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:32,520 origin of life maybe maybe it's not so 1351 00:54:36,050 --> 00:54:34,410 hard for it to occur but again we don't 1352 00:54:37,849 --> 00:54:36,060 know we don't know what's gonna happen 1353 00:54:42,770 --> 00:54:37,859 on an exoplanet so we need to do this 1354 00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:42,780 experiment to actually find out next 1355 00:54:45,349 --> 00:54:43,410 question 1356 00:54:46,910 --> 00:54:45,359 hi is Sonny Harmon from Columbia 1357 00:54:48,529 --> 00:54:46,920 University I was curious 1358 00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:48,539 we've had a lot of discussion about it 1359 00:54:52,730 --> 00:54:50,490 this week and I was hoping you guys 1360 00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:52,740 could recap what each of you think is 1361 00:54:56,660 --> 00:54:55,170 the biggest hurdle in our search for and 1362 00:55:03,710 --> 00:54:56,670 characterization of habitable and 1363 00:55:05,029 --> 00:55:03,720 potentially inhabited planets they were 1364 00:55:07,849 --> 00:55:05,039 looking for the 1365 00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:07,859 hurdle in characterizing habitable 1366 00:55:13,759 --> 00:55:11,249 versus inhabited planets or both I think 1367 00:55:19,549 --> 00:55:13,769 just in general in general just in 1368 00:55:21,799 --> 00:55:19,559 general it's gonna be hard we're gonna 1369 00:55:24,109 --> 00:55:21,809 need a lot of Technology Development 1370 00:55:26,150 --> 00:55:24,119 we're gonna need large missions in order 1371 00:55:28,609 --> 00:55:26,160 to do this and so what we need in order 1372 00:55:30,559 --> 00:55:28,619 to answer these questions of are there 1373 00:55:32,890 --> 00:55:30,569 other habitable planets and is there 1374 00:55:35,479 --> 00:55:32,900 life elsewhere in the galaxy we need 1375 00:55:38,719 --> 00:55:35,489 large missions that are dedicated to 1376 00:55:40,370 --> 00:55:38,729 answering this question we it will be 1377 00:55:43,579 --> 00:55:40,380 hard to do it without it because if life 1378 00:55:45,199 --> 00:55:43,589 is not very common we need a large 1379 00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:45,209 sample size of Earth's and in order to 1380 00:55:48,739 --> 00:55:46,650 get that large sample size of you know 1381 00:55:50,359 --> 00:55:48,749 potential earths you need a big 1382 00:55:54,289 --> 00:55:50,369 light-collecting bucket in order to see 1383 00:55:56,329 --> 00:55:54,299 as many as you possibly can yeah that's 1384 00:55:58,549 --> 00:55:56,339 a great point I guess if I was to sum it 1385 00:56:00,229 --> 00:55:58,559 up I would say technology right that's 1386 00:56:02,809 --> 00:56:00,239 that's unfortunately the biggest hurdle 1387 00:56:07,130 --> 00:56:02,819 that we have at the moment but also in 1388 00:56:08,479 --> 00:56:07,140 terms of life origin of life studies we 1389 00:56:09,949 --> 00:56:08,489 could we could do with a lot more well 1390 00:56:13,519 --> 00:56:09,959 there's some great work already being 1391 00:56:15,799 --> 00:56:13,529 done but finding out as our key eluded 1392 00:56:17,630 --> 00:56:15,809 to the conditions and processes that 1393 00:56:20,620 --> 00:56:17,640 allowed life to emerge on this planet 1394 00:56:22,669 --> 00:56:20,630 would provide a huge boon to us 1395 00:56:24,709 --> 00:56:22,679 understanding the potential habitability 1396 00:56:29,630 --> 00:56:24,719 order potential for planets to be 1397 00:56:31,459 --> 00:56:29,640 inhabited out there in the galaxy yeah I 1398 00:56:32,870 --> 00:56:31,469 think oh yeah mom it's Giada on this one 1399 00:56:38,870 --> 00:56:32,880 mostly what we need is what's the 1400 00:56:40,609 --> 00:56:38,880 biggest hurdle resources because I and 1401 00:56:43,429 --> 00:56:40,619 we do need technology development but we 1402 00:56:45,679 --> 00:56:43,439 you know I we we basically know what we 1403 00:56:47,359 --> 00:56:45,689 need to do you know on the technology 1404 00:56:52,069 --> 00:56:47,369 development path you know what there's a 1405 00:56:56,029 --> 00:56:52,079 plan we just need the support and to do 1406 00:56:57,979 --> 00:56:56,039 it okay I have a lightning round 1407 00:56:59,719 --> 00:56:57,989 question again from the ask NASA hashtag 1408 00:57:01,789 --> 00:56:59,729 so I think I'd like to just hear all the 1409 00:57:04,339 --> 00:57:01,799 panelists answer to this one without you 1410 00:57:06,169 --> 00:57:04,349 know just your gut reaction in your 1411 00:57:08,839 --> 00:57:06,179 opinion are we more likely to find life 1412 00:57:11,319 --> 00:57:08,849 beyond Earth on exoplanets first or in 1413 00:57:15,170 --> 00:57:11,329 the outer part of our own solar system 1414 00:57:16,820 --> 00:57:15,180 I'm going to say solar system I'm a so 1415 00:57:21,410 --> 00:57:16,830 outer solar system evangelist as you 1416 00:57:23,240 --> 00:57:21,420 might picked up from the panel I love 1417 00:57:24,560 --> 00:57:23,250 the solar system I have a special place 1418 00:57:27,080 --> 00:57:24,570 in my heart for all the solar system 1419 00:57:29,030 --> 00:57:27,090 planets but deep in my heart I am biased 1420 00:57:30,650 --> 00:57:29,040 towards exoplanets there's there's more 1421 00:57:34,850 --> 00:57:30,660 exoplanets than there are solar system 1422 00:57:36,380 --> 00:57:34,860 worlds yeah I think I'm gonna go with 1423 00:57:38,150 --> 00:57:36,390 Giada on that one actually two 1424 00:57:43,490 --> 00:57:38,160 exoplanets just because there's so many 1425 00:57:45,890 --> 00:57:43,500 more places to look you know and I think 1426 00:57:48,650 --> 00:57:45,900 I am going to unfortunately tie this and 1427 00:57:50,570 --> 00:57:48,660 say solar system alright so there you 1428 00:57:53,600 --> 00:57:50,580 have it two two and two and then the 1429 00:57:55,640 --> 00:57:53,610 last question from ask NASA some people 1430 00:57:57,470 --> 00:57:55,650 are kind of ho-hum about finding 1431 00:58:00,230 --> 00:57:57,480 microbes beyond Earth we want to find 1432 00:58:04,270 --> 00:58:00,240 intelligent life so why should we be 1433 00:58:08,930 --> 00:58:06,530 well the small stuff still teaches us 1434 00:58:10,760 --> 00:58:08,940 our place in the cosmos it teaches us if 1435 00:58:13,370 --> 00:58:10,770 intelligent life is rare if we start 1436 00:58:14,930 --> 00:58:13,380 pointing our telescopes at every you 1437 00:58:16,850 --> 00:58:14,940 know potential earth-like planet out 1438 00:58:17,990 --> 00:58:16,860 there and maybe we see biosignatures in 1439 00:58:20,570 --> 00:58:18,000 their atmospheres but we don't see any 1440 00:58:22,100 --> 00:58:20,580 techno signatures you know radio signals 1441 00:58:24,620 --> 00:58:22,110 coming from those planets perhaps that 1442 00:58:30,890 --> 00:58:24,630 suggests that maybe intelligent life is 1443 00:58:32,450 --> 00:58:30,900 rare but simple life is common yeah and 1444 00:58:35,150 --> 00:58:32,460 I guess I'll point out that you know big 1445 00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:35,160 things arise from small things so you 1446 00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:38,610 know we you know the doesn't don't go to 1447 00:58:44,870 --> 00:58:40,410 pooh-poohing the bacteria we wouldn't be 1448 00:58:47,420 --> 00:58:44,880 here without them well it's been a great 1449 00:58:49,310 --> 00:58:47,430 discussion and I'm very pleased to have 1450 00:58:52,550 --> 00:58:49,320 had the opportunity to listen to all you 1451 00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:52,560 discuss these great ideas and thank you 1452 00:59:01,500 --> 00:58:54,770 to each one of you for coming